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  • 11. Keranen_Jaana_CES_2010

    nostaa, m utta oh ijuoksutu ksia tulee Sähkönvas tus kasvaa -> energ iahäv iö ita Muuntajien elinikä lyhenee Jääkannen m uodostaminen h idastuu Very likely, the probab ility that the next decade is warmer is 90% . Ilm iö 1 .1 – korkeammat läm pötilat etenkin talvella Skenario 1. Lä mpimäpi i lmasto O ma luokitteluOma luokit te lu Nykyiset t ai tuleva t varautumiskahdo llisuudet /media/ces/Keranen_Jaana_CES_2010.pdf
  • 12. Kok_1-scenarios-lecture-1

    of complex interdependencies, the effort to solve one aspect may create other problems. Complex problem: A problem with many relationships between parts that give rise to collective behaviour of the system. Complex system approach A broad term encompassing a research approach to problems in many diverse disciplines including computer science, AI, biology, sociology, etc. Common elements /media/loftslag/Kok_1-scenarios-lecture-1.pdf
  • 13. VanderKeur_etal-2008-Uncertainty_IWRM-WARM

    cia l sy ste m ): th re e m ai n gr ou ps o fthreat s ar e at th e scene : cl im at e, so ci o -e co n o m ic s an d gover nanc e 1: M ai nl y ep ist em ic pl us som e onto logi ca l 2:S cenari o Pa rti ci pa to ry pr oc es s (PP ) imp ortan tt o de al w ith un certaint y Pa rti cip at o ry pr o ce ss (PP )im po rta n tt o de al w ith u n ce rta in ty : Pa rti ci pa to ry go al se tti ng :c o n /media/loftslag/VanderKeur_etal-2008-Uncertainty_IWRM-WARM.pdf
  • 14. Public-Choice-2012---McGuiness-and-Walker---Foundations-of-the-Ostrom-workshop---institutional-analysis,-polycentricity,-and-self-governance-of-the-commons

    296 Public Choice (2010) 143: 293–301 2 The commons The literature on the commons, or what is more technically defined as common-pool re- sources (CPRs), should be viewed initially from its place in the larger literature on dilem- mas of collective action. Since the foundational work of H. Scott Gordon (1954) on the com- mons, and Mancur Olson (1965) on collective action more broadly, the behavioral /media/loftslag/Public-Choice-2012---McGuiness-and-Walker---Foundations-of-the-Ostrom-workshop---institutional-analysis,-polycentricity,-and-self-governance-of-the-commons.pdf
  • 15. VI_2015_007

    distribution and parameter estimation method The Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution (Jenkinson, 1955) was adopted to model the flood frequency distribution from the AMF series: Qi(D;T ) = ei + ai ki (1 [ ln(1 1=T )]ki) if ki 6= 0 ei ailn( ln(1 1=T )) if ki = 0 (7) where ei is the location parameter, ai is the scale parameter and ki is the shape parameter. The method of probability weighted /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/VI_2015_007.pdf
  • 16. VI_2013_008

    [Q(t);Q(t 1);Q(t 2)] E[Q(ui);Q(ui 1);Q(ui 2)] , ai = Qb(t) Qb(ui) , bi = Q(t) Qb(t) Q(ui) Qb(ui) , and Qb(t) and Qb(ui) are baseflows calculated using the UKIH baseflow separation method (Piggott et al., 2005). All rescaling coefficients were limited to a minimum value of 0.25 and a maximum value of 5. 4.5 Deterministic prediction A deterministic forecast was derived from the ensemble by taking /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2013/VI_2013_008.pdf
  • 17. IMO_AnnualReport2014

    of events closely. Photo: Sigurlaug Gunnlaugsdóttir. Bárðarbunga Pálmi Erlendsson, Bergur H. Bergsson and others installing GPS and com- munication equipment. Photos: Þorgils Ingvarsson and Benedikt G. Ófeigsson. I C E L A N D I C M E T O F F I C E / A N N U A L R E P O R T 2 0 1 4 5 The magma intrusion from Bárðarbunga to the eruption site at Holuhraun and related tremor pulses /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/IMO_AnnualReport2014.pdf
  • 18. VED_AnnualReport-2013_screen

    and our intention is to run these models dur- ing times of hazardous events and even on a daily basis to further improve monitoring. Avalanche monitoring has progressed. The em- phasis is now on improving our services, especially to the Icelandic Road and Coastal Administration with regard to transport. The reason is that com- munity structure has changed considerably in recent years and the need /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/arsskyrslur/VED_AnnualReport-2013_screen.pdf
  • 19. 2005EO260001

    level in Skeidará waned. The last sign of a crater explosion was seen at GRF early on 6 November, leaving only a weak tremor signal from the remnants of the jökulhlaup. The jökulhlaup fi nally ended in early December, after ~0.8 km3 of water had drained from the Grímsvötn lake (J. Hardardóttir, personal com- munication, 2005). Location and Volume Constraints Earthquake locations at Grímsvötn /media/jar/myndsafn/2005EO260001.pdf
  • 20. Paper-Olafur-Rognvaldsson_92

    a systematic com- parison of results to observed precipitation has been carried out. Un- dercatchment of solid precipitation is dealt with by looking only at days when precipitation is presumably liquid or by considering the occurrence and non-occurrence of precipitation. Away from non- resolved orography, the long term means (months, years) of observed and simulated precipitation are often /media/ces/Paper-Olafur-Rognvaldsson_92.pdf

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