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/media/loftslag/Guidelines2-for-rapporteurs.pdf
AVAILABLE FROM:
http://www.atm.helsinki.fi/~jaraisan/CES_D2.3/CES_D2.3.html
2
Table of Contents
Abstract 1
1. Introduction 2
2. Model simulations 4
3. Methods used for deriving probabilistic climate change forecasts 7
3.1 Resampling and variance correction 9
3.2 Relationship between local and large-scale climate changes in ENSEMBLES
simulations 10
3.3 Comparison of large-scale
/media/ces/D2.3_CES_Prob_fcsts_GCMs_and_RCMs.pdf
biomass at EBT and FF in Finland
Management
regimes
Current c mate C mate c ange
EBT FF Total EBT FF Total
TWh yr-1 % TWh yr-1 %
M0 (0%) 8.7 40.4 49.1 -- 17.8 67.5 85.4 --
M1 (+15%) 8.7 43.9 52.6 7 18.1 72.8 90.9 7
M2 (+30%) 8.4 46.4 54.8 12 18.4 76.4 94.8 11
M3 (+45%) 8.1 48.7 56.8 16 19.0 80.3 99.3 16
a
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e
a
(
m
2
h
a
-
1
)
Basal area just
before thinning
Remaining basal
area threshold
/media/ces/Alam_Ashraful_CES_2010.pdf
), S. Solomon et al.,
Eds. (Cambridge Univ. Press, New York, 2007), pp. 1–18;
www.ipcc.ch/press/index.htm.
5. IPCC, in Climate Change 2007: Climate Change Impacts,
Adaptation and Vulnerability, Contribution of WG2 to
AR4, M. L. Parry et al., Eds. (Cambridge Univ. Press, New
York, 2007), pp. 1–16.
6. I. M. Held, B. J. Soden, J. Clim. 19, 5686 (2006).
7. T. P. Barnett, J. C. Adam, D. P. Lettenmaier
/media/loftslag/Milly_etal-2008-Stationarity-dead-Science.pdf
) storage coefficient of interflow ki; (3) drainage
density d; (4) the fraction of surface runoff from snowmelt; and (5) the recession constant
krec for the decreasing saturated hydraulic conductivity with increasing depth. For the
groundwater flow, adjusted parameters (6–7) are the hydraulic conductivity in the X and Y
direction. The hydraulic conductivity is adjusted in distributed grids unlike
/media/ces/2010_017.pdf
Spatial perception of flood hazard in the urban area of Selfoss
Emmanuel P. Pagneux 1, 2
1 Icelandic Meteorological Office
Grensásvegur 9 – 108 Reykjavík – ICELAND
2 Department of Geography and Tourism
Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences / School of Engineering and Sciences
University of Iceland
Aska, Sturlugata 7 – 101 Reykjavík – ICELAND
Email: emmanuel@vedur.is
/media/loftslag/Spatial_perception_of_flood_hazard_in_the_urban_area_of_Selfoss,_Iceland.pdf
Arctic sea ice extent has shrunk by 2.7 [2.1 to 3.3]%
per decade, with larger decreases in summer of 7.4 [5.0 to 9.8]%
per decade. Mountain glaciers and snow cover on average have
declined in both hemispheres. The maximum areal extent of sea-
sonally frozen ground has decreased by about 7% in the Northern
Hemisphere since 1900, with decreases in spring of up to 15%.
Temperatures at the top
/media/loftslag/IPPC-2007-ar4_syr.pdf
that such a system can potentially be in equilibrium. It is more
Fig. 4. Output of various Fuzzy Cognitive Maps. X-axis: number of iteration steps; Y-axis: value of selected concepts.
K. Kok / Global Environmental Change 19 (2009) 122–133128
Author's personal copy
significant that it can be maintained without any policy incentive
(C12 < 0.05 after 20 iterations). In terms of the Fuzzy Cognitive
Map, using
/media/loftslag/Kok_JGEC658_2009.pdf
catchments. Hydrology Research (Accepted - In press).
Olsson, J., Yang, W., Graham, L.P., Rosberg, J., & Andréasson, J. (Submitted to Tellus, 2009) Hydrological climate change impacts on inflows to Lake Vänern, Sweden: An ensemble approach.
Veijalainen, N., Dubrovin, T., Marttunen, M. & Vehviläinen, B. (2010). Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources and Lake. Regulation in the Vuoksi Watershed
/ces/publications/nr/1938