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A Á B C D E É F G H I Í J K L M N O Ó P Q R S T U Ú V W X Y Ý Z Þ Æ Ö
A
A: Icelandic abbreviation of East (compass direction, easterly, eastern).
ANA: Icelandic abbreviation of Eastnorthesast (compass direction).
ASA: Icelandic
/weather/articles/nr/1208/
not representative of present or future climate
conditions?
Winter mean T in Helsinki (1961-2008)
1961-
20081961-
1990
Temperature (°C)
P
r
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b
a
b
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l
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t
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d
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-12 4
Simplest case: change in mean climate,
with no change in the magnitude of variability
If variability changes as well, the two tails of the distribution
(e.g., warm and cold) will be affected differently.
IPCC (2001
/media/ces/RaisanenJouni_CES_2010.pdf
FOREST BIOMASS FOR ENERGY PRODUCTION –
POTENTIALS, MANAGEMENT AND RISKS UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE
Ashraful Alam, Antti Kilpeläinen, Seppo Kellomäki
School of Forest Sciences,
University of Eastern Finland, Joensuu
F t Cli t d R bl EI t Ri k d Ad t tiu ure Cl ma e an enewa e nergy – mpac s, s s an ap a on
Oslo, Norway
2 June, 2010
Contents
• Forestry in Finland
• Challenges
• Objectives
/media/ces/Alam_Ashraful_CES_2010.pdf
and corrected data
-5 0 5 10 15
1
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.
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5
Temperature,°C
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n
,
m
m
/
d
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Jan
Feb Mar
Apr
May
Jun
JulAug
Sep
OctNov
Dec
Year
obs ALUKSNE
DMI 1961-1990 ALUKSNE
mod DMI 1961-1990 ALUKSNE
JanFeb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
AugSep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Year
Jan
Feb
ar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Nov
Dec ear
After the
correction all 3
climate models
agree with
observed data
/media/ces/Kurpniece_Liga_CES_2010.pdf
ca
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/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2010/2010_003rs.pdf
the variations in the seasonal componentsof the mass balance;
– use the model to reconstruct the mass balanceprior to 1949;
– study the sensitivity of the model to differentmodel set ups and choices of parameters;
– and study the climate sensitivity of the glacierand implications of climate change on the massbalance.
SettingStorbreen (61°36' N, 8°8' E) is located in the Jotun-heimen mountain massif
/media/ces/GA_2009_91A_4_Andreassen.pdf
variability
Models
Emission scenarios
2000 2100
LEVEL OF
UNCERTAINTY
Near future End of the
century
Natural climate variability + +
Climate model sensitivity (+) ++
Emission scenarios ++
Source: J. Räisänen (Univ. of Helsinki)
Probabilistic forecasts
of temperature change
in southern Finland
(1971-2000 barb2right 2011-2020)
Temperature change (ºC)
P
r
o
b
a
b
i
l
i
t
y
d
e
n
s
i
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y
(
1
/
º
C
/media/loftslag/Case_B___Road_transport_operation_and_infrastructure_planning.pdf
applied in various case studies,
the Risk Assessment Framework and its tools have
been shown to aid visualisation of the risks and
iii d i h li h i h
Supporting decision‐making
t e g g te r s s an opportun t es n re at on to
the likelihood of the examined scenarios and the
likelihood of the risks and opportunities identified.
The different quadrants of the table (act, prepare and
monitor) guide
/media/ces/ces_risk_flyer.pdf
............................................................................................... 57
Appendices
I Figures ....................................................................................................... 61
II Maps .......................................................................................................... 64
8
1 Introduction
The settlement in Seyðisfjörður is endangered by snow avalanches and landslides that have
/media/vedurstofan-utgafa-2016/VI_2016_006_rs.pdf
-Skaugen, T., Haugen, J.E., & Hanssen-Bauer, I. (2008). Dynamically downscaled climate scenarios available at the Norwegian Meteorological Institute - per December 2008, met.no report 24/2008.
Gregow, H. & Ruosteenoja, K. (2010). Estimating the effect of climate change on surface geostrophic winds in Northern Europe (CES Climate Modelling and Scenarios Deliverable D2.4). Finnish Meteorological
/ces/publications/nr/1680