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  • 31. BIGJ_windrose_2005-2014

    1 2 1 1 Wind rose BIGJ April 2005−2014 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 2010360350340 330 320 310 300 290 280 270 260 250 240 230 220 210 200 190 180 170 160 150 140 130 120 110 100 2 4 6 8 10 Frequency of wind direction (%) Aerodrome Total observations: 114 Calm: 0.88% Variable winds: 0% Average wind speed for wind direction Wind direction (°) Wind speed (knots ) 0 5 10 15 0 45 90 135 180 225 270 315 /media/vedur/BIGJ_windrose_2005-2014.pdf
  • 32. VI_2022_006_extreme

    77 91 109 Hraunaveita 132 116 136 159 117 140 169 Kvíslaveita 48 42 49 58 42 51 61 Sultartangi 66 57 68 80 58 69 84 Þingvallavatn 96 84 99 117 85 102 123 Þórisvatn 47 41 49 57 42 50 60 Tungnaá 76 67 79 92 67 80 98 Ufsarlón 104 92 108 126 93 112 134 36 Figure 19 – 1M5 maps for catchment Hálslón based on the ICRA dataset without projection (top left), with RCP 2.6 and 10th percentile /media/vedurstofan-utgafa-2022/VI_2022_006_extreme.pdf
  • 33. NOMEK09_Report

    Hermannsdóttir (Media) Sveinn Brynjólfsson (Avalanche) Theodor Freyr Hervarsson (Aviation) Guðrún Nína Petersen (Forecast errors) SMHI: Andreas Carlsson (Dynamics/NWP) Anna Eronn (Satellite) met.no: Bjørn Røsting (Dynamics) FMI: Vesa Nietosvaara (Online sessions and website) Elena Saltikoff (Radar-distans teaching) DMI: Claus Petersen (Slippery Roads) EUMETSAT: Jochen Kerkmann (Satellite /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2009/NOMEK09_Report.pdf
  • 34. VI_2020_008

    by the Peak-over-Threshold with MLE applied on daily and 24-hour accumulated precipitation from the ICRA. ............................... 58 8 Glossary 1M5 – Daily or 24-hour precipitation return level with a 5-year return period AMSAnnual Maxima Series CCCloseness Coefficient CDOClimate Data Operator EVA – Extreme Value Analysis GP – Generalized Pareto ICRA – Icelandic /media/vedurstofan-utgafa-2020/VI_2020_008.pdf
  • 35. Climate and Modeling Scenarios

    & Ruosteenoja, K. (2009). Comparing regional risks in producing turnip rape and oilseed rape - Impacts of climate change and breeding. Acta agriculturae Scandinavica 59B:2, 129-138. doi:10.1080/09064710802022895 (http://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/tandf/sagb/2009/00000059/00000002/art00004). Pryor, S.C., Barthelmie, R.J., Clausen, N.E., Drews, M., MacKellar, N. & Kjellström, E. (2010). Analyses /ces/publications/nr/1680
  • 36. Kok_2-scenarios-lecture-2

    extreem events C6; qual nat. systems C7; policies C8; price of resources C9; other sectors C10; industry C11; inrastructure Crimea - Ukraine Manaus - Brazil From FCM to model input FCM – strong points • Easy to develop and apply. The approach is highly intuitive, it can quickly be explained and applied to any new situation. • High level of integration. A FCM can contain any type of information /media/loftslag/Kok_2-scenarios-lecture-2.pdf
  • 37. Kok_et_al._TFSC_published_2011

    ]. There is ample experience with backcasting, and consequently much has been said about the underlying principles (e.g. [20]), the methodological 838 K. Kok et al. / Technological Forecasting & Social Change 78 (2011) 835851 Author's personal copy framework (e.g. [8,30–32]), and practical applications (e.g. [33–35]). Also the combination between backcasting and other types of scenarios has been /media/loftslag/Kok_et_al._TFSC_published_2011.pdf
  • 38. BIKF_windrose_2005-2014

    direction (%) Aerodrome Total observations: 14883 Calm: 2.2% Variable winds: 0.55% Average wind speed for wind direction Wind direction (°) Wind speed (knots ) 0 5 10 15 0 45 90 135 180 225 270 315 360 N E S W N (Number of observations for wind direction) Icelandic Met Office 02. júl. 2015 62 1 87 9 97 3 79 5 45 3 30 9 24 2 33 8 23 8 19 1 20 6 30 9 38 1 45 2 65 6 63 1 46 0 42 2 41 7 28 1 30 1 33 2 /media/vedur/BIKF_windrose_2005-2014.pdf
  • 39. BIVM_windrose_2005-2014

    N E S W N (Number of observations for wind direction) Icelandic Met Office 02. júl. 2015 114 8 128 7 84 9 36 1 26 0 13 9 24 3 65 4 136 4 250 3 366 4 298 8 189 6 146 9 99 9 160 6 111 5 83 5 86 1 86 4 80 0 82 6 92 4 96 3 97 5 124 9 109 5 127 7 122 4 115 3 88 0 61 9 52 3 55 3 96 0 109 9 Wind rose BIVM January 2005−2014 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 2010360350340 330 320 310 300 290 280 /media/vedur/BIVM_windrose_2005-2014.pdf
  • 40. VI_2020_005

    and CNES, n.d.; National Center for Atmospheric Research Staff, 2016; Quante and Colijn, 2016). Now, additional altimeters at different orbits perform slightly less accurate measurements up to 82 N and S (Rhein et al., 2013). These records are used to estimate sea surface changes and calculate global mean sea level, a temporal average sea level averaged over the oceans (Church, Clark, et al., 2013 /media/vedurstofan-utgafa-2020/VI_2020_005.pdf

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