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Results:

• 31. The second CES Workshop, held at SMHI in Norrköping, Sweden, May 2008

  a model on fuel prices, economic and technological development, and CO2 prices. In the CES project methods for sophisticated risk analysis accounting for climate change will be explored by the Risk Analysis group. The Risk group will use climate scenarios to assess risk in the nearest future taking climate changes into account. All participants in the CES project have access to a project web-page /ces/nr/1671

• 32. BIGJ_windrose_2005-2014

  1 2 1 1 Wind rose BIGJ April 2005−2014 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 2010360350340 330 320 310 300 290 280 270 260 250 240 230 220 210 200 190 180 170 160 150 140 130 120 110 100 2 4 6 8 10 Frequency of wind direction (%) Aerodrome Total observations: 114 Calm: 0.88% Variable winds: 0% Average wind speed for wind direction Wind direction (°) Wind speed (knots ) 0 5 10 15 0 45 90 135 180 225 270 315 /media/vedur/BIGJ_windrose_2005-2014.pdf

• 33. Refsgaard_2-uncertainty

  Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec ARPEGE-CNRM ARPEGE-DMI BCM-DMI BCM-SMHI ECHAM-DMI ECHAM-ICPT ECHAM-KNMI ECHAM-SMHI Lauren P Seaby PhD project www.hyacints.dk Preliminary results Data from 8 climate models in the ENSEMBLES project (A1B) Future climate Down scaling Bias correction Global 100-250 km Scale Regional 10-25 km Hydrological 50-500 m Present climate Climate change /media/loftslag/Refsgaard_2-uncertainty.pdf

• 34. Latest news on the eruption at Reykjanes peninsula

  the area and to follow instructions and advice as given by the local Police and Civil Protection authorities.Updated 8.8. at 13:00Gas pollution at the eruption site can at any time exceed danger levels. The eruptive plume follows the wind direction, and it is therefore safer to watch the eruption with the wind direction behind you, rather than towards you.In calm/light wind (<5 m/s) gas can /about-imo/news/a-new-eruption-has-started-at-fagradalsfjall

• 35. Kok_et_al._TFSC_published_2011

  ]. There is ample experience with backcasting, and consequently much has been said about the underlying principles (e.g. [20]), the methodological 838 K. Kok et al. / Technological Forecasting & Social Change 78 (2011) 835–851 Author's personal copy framework (e.g. [8,30–32]), and practical applications (e.g. [33–35]). Also the combination between backcasting and other types of scenarios has been /media/loftslag/Kok_et_al._TFSC_published_2011.pdf

• 36. Factsheet_Bardarbunga_20141103

  site in Holuhraun. Most reliable are the forecast maps approved my meteorologist on duty, see Gas forecast. And although still being developed further, an automatic forecast, see Gas model, is also available (trial run, see disclaimer). • A new online gas detector has been put up in Hofn in Hornafjordur. Measurements of air quality can be found on the NATIONAL COMMISSIONER OF THE ICELANDIC /media/jar/Factsheet_Bardarbunga_20141103.pdf

• 37. 2010_005_

  Century control runs, as well as 21st Century forecast runs, submitted by various institutions to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) for their Forth 11 Table 1. General circulation and regional climate models that were considered in this study. Model Version Model Name, Institute BCCR BCM 2.0 Bergen Climate Model, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway CCCMA CGCM 3.1 /media/ces/2010_005_.pdf

• 38. VI_2009_012

  Mw(v) plotted against log distance. The coefficient of correlation between Mw(v) and log distance is 0.24. High correlation coefficients have been shown to affect parameter estimates in one step regression methods (see Fukushima and Tanaka, 1990). The Ci values were also calculated from the derived PGA values. Instead of constructing another magnitude scale based on acceleration it was decided /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2009/VI_2009_012.pdf

• 39. Kok_2-scenarios-lecture-2

  extreem events C6; qual nat. systems C7; policies C8; price of resources C9; other sectors C10; industry C11; inrastructure Crimea - Ukraine Manaus - Brazil From FCM to model input FCM – strong points • Easy to develop and apply. The approach is highly intuitive, it can quickly be explained and applied to any new situation. • High level of integration. A FCM can contain any type of information /media/loftslag/Kok_2-scenarios-lecture-2.pdf

• 40. Factsheet_Bardarbunga_20141105

  accompanied by ash fall. Other scenarios cannot be excluded.  From the Icelandic Met Office: The Aviation Colour Code for Bardarbunga remains at ‘orange’.  The next meeting will be held on Friday November 7th. The National Commissioner of the Icelandic Police, Department of Civil Protection and Emergency Management Almannavarnir Civil Protection and Emergency Management, Twitter /media/jar/Factsheet_Bardarbunga_20141105.pdf