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Results:

• 31. 2010_005_

  Century control runs, as well as 21st Century forecast runs, submitted by various institutions to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) for their Forth 11 Table 1. General circulation and regional climate models that were considered in this study. Model Version Model Name, Institute BCCR BCM 2.0 Bergen Climate Model, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway CCCMA CGCM 3.1 /media/ces/2010_005_.pdf

• 32. Water_resources_man_Veijalainen_etal

  range 90% 93.15–93.29 93.27–93.36 75.43–75.56 94.59–94.71 2040–2069 range 90% 93.09–93.31 93.28–93.40 75.41–75.56 94.72–94.83 2070–2099 range 90% 93.02–93.32 93.24–93.43 75.38–75.61 94.79–94.91 Lowest water level (in the 30 year period) (m) Reference period 92.86 92.72 75.20 94.27 2010–2039 range 90% 92.62–92.91 92.96–93.13 75.24–75.33 94.47–94.59 2040–2069 range 90% 92.55–92.82 92.88–93.12 75.19 /media/ces/Water_resources_man_Veijalainen_etal.pdf

• 33. VI_2014_001

  flood method for deriving flood quantiles at gauged sites with limited data availability (see for in- stance Blazkova and Beven, 1997; Cameron et al., 1999; Fiorentino et al., 2007; and a review by Boughton and Droop, 2003). A distributed hydrological model calibrated on a gauged catch- ment can be used to continuously simulate discharge series at different sites on that catchment and flood /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2014/VI_2014_001.pdf

• 34. Factsheet_Bardarbunga_20141027

  University of Iceland along with representatives from the Icelandic Civil Protection and the Environmental Agency of Iceland. Main points  Volcanic eruption in Holuhraun  Air quality  Scenarios Notes  The volcanic eruption in Holuhraun continues with similar intensity.  Seismic activity in Bardarbunga continues to be strong. Over 200 earthquakes have been detected in the caldera /media/jar/Factsheet_Bardarbunga_20141027.pdf

• 35. Factsheet_Bardarbunga_20141029

  University of Iceland along with representatives from the Icelandic Civil Protection and the Environmental Agency of Iceland. Main points  Volcanic eruption in Holuhraun  Air quality  Scenarios Notes  The volcanic eruption in Holuhraun continues with similar intensity.  Seismic activity in Bardarbunga continues to be strong. 130 earthquakes have been detected in the caldera over /media/jar/Factsheet_Bardarbunga_20141029.pdf

• 36. Factsheet_Bardarbunga_20141031

  around magnitude M1,0 and smaller.  GPS measurements in the active area show minor changes. A recommendation by the Scientific Advisory Board of the Icelandic Civil Protection: The Scientific Advisory Board concludes that it is necessary to increase monitoring of SO4 so it is possible to evaluate the concentration of sulphuric acid particles and its potential influence on health. Air /media/jar/Factsheet_Bardarbunga_20141031.pdf

• 37. Factsheet_Bardarbunga_20141103

  site in Holuhraun. Most reliable are the forecast maps approved my meteorologist on duty, see Gas forecast. And although still being developed further, an automatic forecast, see Gas model, is also available (trial run, see disclaimer). • A new online gas detector has been put up in Hofn in Hornafjordur. Measurements of air quality can be found on the NATIONAL COMMISSIONER OF THE ICELANDIC /media/jar/Factsheet_Bardarbunga_20141103.pdf

• 38. Factsheet_Bardarbunga_20141105

  accompanied by ash fall. Other scenarios cannot be excluded.  From the Icelandic Met Office: The Aviation Colour Code for Bardarbunga remains at ‘orange’.  The next meeting will be held on Friday November 7th. The National Commissioner of the Icelandic Police, Department of Civil Protection and Emergency Management Almannavarnir Civil Protection and Emergency Management, Twitter /media/jar/Factsheet_Bardarbunga_20141105.pdf

• 39. Hare-2011-ParticipatoryModelling

  are labelled according to the geographical area of application. Examples such as Zürich and Hase II have already been reviewed and categorized in Hare et al. (2003) and Bots and van Daalen (2008), respectively. The entire Iskar process, of which Iskar (Phase I) is a part, has been categorized by Barreteau et al. (2010). All are included in this review to provide alternative analytical perspectives /media/loftslag/Hare-2011-ParticipatoryModelling.pdf

• 40. Refsgaard_2-uncertainty

  Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec ARPEGE-CNRM ARPEGE-DMI BCM-DMI BCM-SMHI ECHAM-DMI ECHAM-ICPT ECHAM-KNMI ECHAM-SMHI Lauren P Seaby PhD project www.hyacints.dk Preliminary results Data from 8 climate models in the ENSEMBLES project (A1B) Future climate Down scaling Bias correction Global 100-250 km Scale Regional 10-25 km Hydrological 50-500 m Present climate Climate change /media/loftslag/Refsgaard_2-uncertainty.pdf