the opportunity to achieve
not only single, but double, and maybe even triple loop learning, which is key to adaptive management.
/media/loftslag/Group2-report.pdf
to poor responses to drought and low flow
problems, a higher level of AIWM seems to result in
more adequate responses to flood problems, at least in
terms of flood protection or mitigation measures
– AIWM enables more diversity in response measures =>
moving up in learning level (single -> double -> tripple)
Responsivenes to droughts and
floods (Huntjens et al., 2010)
• Adaptation refers to both
/media/loftslag/Henriksen-AM.pdf
................................................................. 30
9
1 Abstract
Between 1991 and August 2006, 860 earthquakes in Eyjafjallajökull volcano, South
Iceland were recorded by the SIL national seismic network. These earthquakes have been
relocated using a relative, double-difference location method and their source mechanisms
recalculated. The spatial and temporal seismicity pattern is analysed, as well as the
distribution of focal
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2009/VI_2009_013.pdf
to “bookshelf” type
faulting. In June 2000, two large earthquakes of magnitudes ML6.4 and ML6.5 struck in the
SISZ, three and a half days and approximately 17 km apart. Seismicity greatly increased in
all Southwest Iceland and during 2000, roughly nineteen thousand microearthquakes were
recorded there. The aim of this research is to relocate the earthquakes using a double-
difference relative
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2010/2010_003rs.pdf
One of the key innovative features of this approach is the integration of a scaled
(single/double/triple) helical learning model that embeds adaptive management
principles. This creates the potential for the evolution of institutions to respond to
changing socio-technical regimes. (Jaroszweski, Chapman, & Petts, 2010)
Finally, a set of robust policy measures and strategies for adaptive
/media/loftslag/Group4.pdf
the transition to adaptive water management regimes.
4.4. How can BNs support the transition from the currently
prevailing regimes of river basin water management into
more adaptive regimes that are better able to deal with
changing conditions?
It takes some effort to explain what we mean by this
question to the water managers. To give an example of how
we understand AM, we use the double loop learning
/media/loftslag/Henriksen_Barlebo-2008-AWM_BBN-Journ_Env_Management.pdf
im-
proved by a double-difference location meth-
od [Slunga et al., 1995], and supported by P -
wave particle-motion analysis at GRF, reveal a
northerly trending event distribution, centered
at the southern caldera rim, ~1 km east of the
main eruption site (Figure 1b). Focal depths
mostly concentrate above 4 km and decrease
by ~2 km near the eruption onset.
The detection threshold
/media/jar/myndsafn/2005EO260001.pdf
• Baseline / automatic adaptation/ planned adaptation
• Beware of double counting (stocks-flows; costs-transfers)
• Uncertainty / Risk / Volatility
8/26/2011Adriaan Perrels/IL 12
Duration of alternatives
• The discount rate (r) in the NPV calculation
needs to be chosen
• If a project is (predominantly) commercial a bank interest
rate can be used and nominal prices to allow for inflation
effects
/media/loftslag/Perrels-CBA.pdf