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  • 41. Climate and Modeling Scenarios

    & Ruosteenoja, K. (2009). Comparing regional risks in producing turnip rape and oilseed rape - Impacts of climate change and breeding. Acta agriculturae Scandinavica 59B:2, 129-138. doi:10.1080/09064710802022895 (http://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/tandf/sagb/2009/00000059/00000002/art00004). Pryor, S.C., Barthelmie, R.J., Clausen, N.E., Drews, M., MacKellar, N. & Kjellström, E. (2010). Analyses /ces/publications/nr/1680
  • 42. Kok_2-scenarios-lecture-2

    extreem events C6; qual nat. systems C7; policies C8; price of resources C9; other sectors C10; industry C11; inrastructure Crimea - Ukraine Manaus - Brazil From FCM to model input FCM – strong points • Easy to develop and apply. The approach is highly intuitive, it can quickly be explained and applied to any new situation. • High level of integration. A FCM can contain any type of information /media/loftslag/Kok_2-scenarios-lecture-2.pdf
  • 43. Kok_et_al._TFSC_published_2011

    ]. There is ample experience with backcasting, and consequently much has been said about the underlying principles (e.g. [20]), the methodological 838 K. Kok et al. / Technological Forecasting & Social Change 78 (2011) 835851 Author's personal copy framework (e.g. [8,30–32]), and practical applications (e.g. [33–35]). Also the combination between backcasting and other types of scenarios has been /media/loftslag/Kok_et_al._TFSC_published_2011.pdf
  • 44. Huntjens_etal-2010-Climate-change-adaptation-Reg_Env_Change

    can be found in Huntjens et al. (2007), Chapter 4 of NeWater Deliverable 1.7.9a (http://www.newater.info). Climate change adaptation in European river basins 265 123 interactions, by private and public actors, to achieve adaptation and to enhance the capacity of processes, institutional arrangements and actors to adapt to future environmental changes (Huitema et al. 2009). Adaptive governance /media/loftslag/Huntjens_etal-2010-Climate-change-adaptation-Reg_Env_Change.pdf
  • 45. VI_2020_008

    by the Peak-over-Threshold with MLE applied on daily and 24-hour accumulated precipitation from the ICRA. ............................... 58 8 Glossary 1M5 – Daily or 24-hour precipitation return level with a 5-year return period AMSAnnual Maxima Series CCCloseness Coefficient CDOClimate Data Operator EVA – Extreme Value Analysis GP – Generalized Pareto ICRA – Icelandic /media/vedurstofan-utgafa-2020/VI_2020_008.pdf
  • 46. Kok_JGEC658_2009

    and that paving major roads will lead to deforestation. C3: Conservation units. A large percentage of the Amazon (close to 33%) is classified as some kind of protected area. This includes indigenous reserves, federal parks and national parks. Only about 5% is strictly protected, although it is argued that ‘paper parks’ can also be effective. C4: Forest accessibility. The amount of forest /media/loftslag/Kok_JGEC658_2009.pdf
  • 47. BIKF_windrose_2005-2014

    direction (%) Aerodrome Total observations: 14883 Calm: 2.2% Variable winds: 0.55% Average wind speed for wind direction Wind direction (°) Wind speed (knots ) 0 5 10 15 0 45 90 135 180 225 270 315 360 N E S W N (Number of observations for wind direction) Icelandic Met Office 02. júl. 2015 62 1 87 9 97 3 79 5 45 3 30 9 24 2 33 8 23 8 19 1 20 6 30 9 38 1 45 2 65 6 63 1 46 0 42 2 41 7 28 1 30 1 33 2 /media/vedur/BIKF_windrose_2005-2014.pdf
  • 48. BIRK_windrose_2005-2014

    0 8 6 8 0 8 9 8 8 7 3 8 5 5 1 11 8 14 4 Wind rose BIRK December 2005−2014 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 2010360350340 330 320 310 300 290 280 270 260 250 240 230 220 210 200 190 180 170 160 150 140 130 120 110 100 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Frequency of wind direction (%) Aerodrome Total observations: 7629 Calm: 1.3% Variable winds: 1.7% Average wind speed for wind direction Wind direction (°) Wind speed /media/vedur/BIRK_windrose_2005-2014.pdf
  • 49. ces_geus_paakitsoq_full_report

    offsets between measurements and downscaled RCM fields at Crawford and Swiss Camp (1995-2006) are calculated. The offset-values are averaged over both stations and all years to obtain a correction value for each day of the year. Due 9 Figure 8: Mean annual accumulation distribution for the Paakitsôq area according to RCAO (Plot a) and HIRHAM4 (Plot b). to time constraints it was decided to calculate /media/ces/ces_geus_paakitsoq_full_report.pdf
  • 50. Public-Choice-2012---McGuiness-and-Walker---Foundations-of-the-Ostrom-workshop---institutional-analysis,-polycentricity,-and-self-governance-of-the-commons

    The well-being of any human community is critically dependent on continued access to natural and man-made resources. Decades before sustainability became a popular slogan, the Ostroms began to investigate the conditions under which natural resources can be man- aged in a sustainable manner. The origins of the Workshop approach can be traced back at least as far as “State Administration of Natural /media/loftslag/Public-Choice-2012---McGuiness-and-Walker---Foundations-of-the-Ostrom-workshop---institutional-analysis,-polycentricity,-and-self-governance-of-the-commons.pdf

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