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Results:

• 41. Kok_2-scenarios-lecture-2

  extreem events C6; qual nat. systems C7; policies C8; price of resources C9; other sectors C10; industry C11; inrastructure Crimea - Ukraine Manaus - Brazil From FCM to model input FCM – strong points • Easy to develop and apply. The approach is highly intuitive, it can quickly be explained and applied to any new situation. • High level of integration. A FCM can contain any type of information /media/loftslag/Kok_2-scenarios-lecture-2.pdf

• 42. Kok_et_al._TFSC_published_2011

  ]. There is ample experience with backcasting, and consequently much has been said about the underlying principles (e.g. [20]), the methodological 838 K. Kok et al. / Technological Forecasting & Social Change 78 (2011) 835–851 Author's personal copy framework (e.g. [8,30–32]), and practical applications (e.g. [33–35]). Also the combination between backcasting and other types of scenarios has been /media/loftslag/Kok_et_al._TFSC_published_2011.pdf

• 43. BIKF_windrose_2005-2014

  direction (%) Aerodrome Total observations: 14883 Calm: 2.2% Variable winds: 0.55% Average wind speed for wind direction Wind direction (°) Wind speed (knots ) 0 5 10 15 0 45 90 135 180 225 270 315 360 N E S W N (Number of observations for wind direction) Icelandic Met Office 02. júl. 2015 62 1 87 9 97 3 79 5 45 3 30 9 24 2 33 8 23 8 19 1 20 6 30 9 38 1 45 2 65 6 63 1 46 0 42 2 41 7 28 1 30 1 33 2 /media/vedur/BIKF_windrose_2005-2014.pdf

• 44. BIVM_windrose_2005-2014

  N E S W N (Number of observations for wind direction) Icelandic Met Office 02. júl. 2015 114 8 128 7 84 9 36 1 26 0 13 9 24 3 65 4 136 4 250 3 366 4 298 8 189 6 146 9 99 9 160 6 111 5 83 5 86 1 86 4 80 0 82 6 92 4 96 3 97 5 124 9 109 5 127 7 122 4 115 3 88 0 61 9 52 3 55 3 96 0 109 9 Wind rose BIVM January 2005−2014 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 2010360350340 330 320 310 300 290 280 /media/vedur/BIVM_windrose_2005-2014.pdf

• 45. VI_2020_005

  and CNES, n.d.; National Center for Atmospheric Research Staff, 2016; Quante and Colijn, 2016). Now, additional altimeters at different orbits perform slightly less accurate measurements up to 82 N and S (Rhein et al., 2013). These records are used to estimate sea surface changes and calculate global mean sea level, a temporal average sea level averaged over the oceans (Church, Clark, et al., 2013 /media/vedurstofan-utgafa-2020/VI_2020_005.pdf

• 46. Kok_JGEC658_2009

  and that paving major roads will lead to deforestation. C3: Conservation units. A large percentage of the Amazon (close to 33%) is classified as some kind of protected area. This includes indigenous reserves, federal parks and national parks. Only about 5% is strictly protected, although it is argued that ‘paper parks’ can also be effective. C4: Forest accessibility. The amount of forest /media/loftslag/Kok_JGEC658_2009.pdf

• 47. VI_2009_012

  Mw(v) plotted against log distance. The coefficient of correlation between Mw(v) and log distance is 0.24. High correlation coefficients have been shown to affect parameter estimates in one step regression methods (see Fukushima and Tanaka, 1990). The Ci values were also calculated from the derived PGA values. Instead of constructing another magnitude scale based on acceleration it was decided /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2009/VI_2009_012.pdf

• 48. VI_2015_009

  flood models 1–24 (Eqs. 8 and 9 applied with variables 1–12). Ratio between esti- mated and reference index flood (solid black line). The solid blue line corresponds to the reference index flood (Ratio=1), estimated as the arithmetic mean of the observed AMF sample and the dashed blue lines the 95% CI derived from the GEV distribution. Large red symbol indicates overall best model. 18 4.2.2 Flood /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/VI_2015_009.pdf

• 49. Public-Choice-2012---Teyssier---Inequity-and-risk-aversion-in-sequential-public-good-games

  individuals act like homo-œconomicus agents (see for example Andreoni 1988; Berg et al. 1995; Camerer 2003; Forsythe et al. 1994; Isaac et al. 1984). Recent developments in public-choice theory have taken a behavioral approach to broaden the analysis of collective action. The introduction of social preferences, such as altruism, inequity aversion or trust, may mean that optimal collective choices /media/loftslag/Public-Choice-2012---Teyssier---Inequity-and-risk-aversion-in-sequential-public-good-games.pdf

• 50. Hare-2011-ParticipatoryModelling

  are labelled according to the geographical area of application. Examples such as Zürich and Hase II have already been reviewed and categorized in Hare et al. (2003) and Bots and van Daalen (2008), respectively. The entire Iskar process, of which Iskar (Phase I) is a part, has been categorized by Barreteau et al. (2010). All are included in this review to provide alternative analytical perspectives /media/loftslag/Hare-2011-ParticipatoryModelling.pdf