conditional to that given synoptic situation. In other words, the analogue method cap-
italises on historical information collected at location of interest and can therefore be seen as an
objective expert prediction system based on past experience.
This technique has been applied in weather forecasting (Radinovic´, 1975; Kruizinga & Murphy,
1983; Obled et al., 2002, Fraedrich et al., 2003; Hamill
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2014/VI_2014_006.pdf