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  • 41. Kok_JGEC658_2009

    Change 19 (2009) 122–133 A R T I C L E I N F O Article history: Received 14 November 2007 Received in revised form 21 August 2008 Accepted 25 August 2008 Keywords: Fuzzy Cognitive Maps Scenario Participation Resilience Brazil A B S T R A C T The main drawback of the Story-and-Simulation approach is the weak link between qualitative and quantitative scenarios. A semi-quantitative tool, Fuzzy /media/loftslag/Kok_JGEC658_2009.pdf
  • 42. VI_2013_008

    In Iceland, floods are primarily of three different origins (Snorra- son et al., 2012): (i) meteorological floods induced by rain and which are often combined with melting of snow and ice, (ii) floods due to ice formation and release within river channels, and (iii) glacier outburst floods which originate in marginal lakes, formed in glacier dammed side valleys, or subglacial lakes, formed as a result /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2013/VI_2013_008.pdf
  • 43. Paper-Olafur-Rognvaldsson_92

    a systematic com- parison of results to observed precipitation has been carried out. Un- dercatchment of solid precipitation is dealt with by looking only at days when precipitation is presumably liquid or by considering the occurrence and non-occurrence of precipitation. Away from non- resolved orography, the long term means (months, years) of observed and simulated precipitation are often /media/ces/Paper-Olafur-Rognvaldsson_92.pdf
  • 44. VI_2014_005

    Evaluation of HARMONIE reanalyses of surface air temperature and wind speed over Iceland Nikolai Nawri VÍ 2014-005 Skýrsla 2 Evaluation of HARMONIE reanalyses of surface air temperature and wind speed over Iceland VÍ 2014- 005 ISSN 1670- 8261 Skýrsla +354 522 60 00 vedur @vedur . is Veður st of a Íslands Búst aðaveg ur 7 – 9 108 Reyk j avík Nik olai Nawr i /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2014/VI_2014_005.pdf
  • 45. Lettenmaier_Dennis_CES_2010pdf

    Withdrawal Reliability Grand Coulee Recreation Reliability R e l i a b i l i t y ( % , m o n t h l y b a s e d ) Control Period 1 Period 2 Period 3 RCM 2040-2069 60 80 100 120 140 Firm Hydropower Annual Flow Deficit at McNary P e r c e n t o f C o n t r o l R u n C l i m a t e PCM Control Climate and Current Operations PCM Projected Climate and Current Operations PCM Projected /media/ces/Lettenmaier_Dennis_CES_2010pdf.pdf
  • 46. Kurpniece_Liga_CES_2010

    and corrected data -5 0 5 10 15 1 . 0 1 . 5 2 . 0 2 . 5 3 . 0 3 . 5 Temperature,°C P r e c i p i t a t i o n , m m / d a y Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun JulAug Sep OctNov Dec Year obs ALUKSNE DMI 1961-1990 ALUKSNE mod DMI 1961-1990 ALUKSNE JanFeb Mar Apr May Jun Jul AugSep Oct Nov Dec Year Jan Feb ar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Nov Dec ear After the correction all 3 climate models agree with observed data /media/ces/Kurpniece_Liga_CES_2010.pdf
  • 47. Lawrence_Deborah_CES_2010

    ECHAM4/OPYC3 NorClim/HIRHAM 25x25 km 'Empirical Adjustment' to 1 x 1 km 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 750 800 850 900 1 10 100 1000 Return period (years) P e a k d a i l y d i s c h a r g e ( m 3 / s ) 1981-2010 GEV from annual max series 2021-2050 GEV from annual max series 2021 - 2050 Annual maximum series 1981 - 2010 Annual maximum series 1981-2010 200-year flood 2021 /media/ces/Lawrence_Deborah_CES_2010.pdf
  • 48. RaisanenJouni_CES_2010

    not representative of present or future climate conditions? Winter mean T in Helsinki (1961-2008) 1961- 20081961- 1990 Temperature (°C) P r o b a b i l i t y d e n s i t y -12 4 Simplest case: change in mean climate, with no change in the magnitude of variability If variability changes as well, the two tails of the distribution (e.g., warm and cold) will be affected differently. IPCC (2001 /media/ces/RaisanenJouni_CES_2010.pdf
  • 49. Case_B___Road_transport_operation_and_infrastructure_planning

    variability Models Emission scenarios 2000 2100 LEVEL OF UNCERTAINTY Near future End of the century Natural climate variability + + Climate model sensitivity (+) ++ Emission scenarios ++ Source: J. Räisänen (Univ. of Helsinki) Probabilistic forecasts of temperature change in southern Finland (1971-2000 barb2right 2011-2020) Temperature change (ºC) P r o b a b i l i t y d e n s i t y ( 1 / º C /media/loftslag/Case_B___Road_transport_operation_and_infrastructure_planning.pdf
  • 50. Glossary

    We are hoping to find time to improve this glossary. Only a few items are available. For your relevant search, please click on one of the letters below: A Á B C D E É F G H I Í J K L M N O Ó P Q R S T U Ú V W X Y Ý Z Þ Æ Ö A A: Icelandic abbreviation of East (compass direction, easterly, eastern). ANA: Icelandic abbreviation of Eastnorthesast (compass direction). ASA: Icelandic /weather/articles/nr/1208

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