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Results:

• 51. Lawrence_Deborah_CES_2010

  areas from 3 to 15,000 km2 3 GCM/RCMs (with SRES A1B emissions) Echam5/HIRHAM5 BCM/RCA3 HadCM3Qref/HIRHAM 2 Methods for transferring RCM output to 1 x 1 km grid Delta change Empirical adjustment method (met.no) 25 calibrated hydrological models for 115 catchments Flood frequency analysis for 200-year flood ⇒ Construct pdfs from 150 results for each catchment Viksvatn (Hestadfjord) - 83.2 IS92a /media/ces/Lawrence_Deborah_CES_2010.pdf

• 52. Group-1_Scenarios-for-AWM

  t / c o s t ratio H i g h L o w S c enar i o 1 S c ena r io 2 Present time 20302020 Socio E c onomic D e v elopme n t Figure 1. Scenario building for AWM in Horsens Fjord To estimate of the adaptation strategy (Table 2) we will use back-casting approach. The assessments of the productivity of this approach are based on main big strategies which need to have an attention. One of them /media/loftslag/Group-1_Scenarios-for-AWM.pdf

• 53. VI_2015_009

  flood models 1–24 (Eqs. 8 and 9 applied with variables 1–12). Ratio between esti- mated and reference index flood (solid black line). The solid blue line corresponds to the reference index flood (Ratio=1), estimated as the arithmetic mean of the observed AMF sample and the dashed blue lines the 95% CI derived from the GEV distribution. Large red symbol indicates overall best model. 18 4.2.2 Flood /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/VI_2015_009.pdf

• 54. VI2010-006_web

  milli byggðarinnar á Akureyri og í Fjörunni um aldamótin. Um 1898 var gerður skipulagsuppdráttur af Torfunefi, neðan Grófargils. Þar efldist byggðin og upp úr aldamótunum og myndaðist þar vísir að miðbæ alls kaupstaðarins. Um þetta leyti fór að gæta hnignunar í Innbænum og flestum meiriháttar byggingum var nú valinn staður í norðurhluta bæjarins. Húsbrunar settu þar að auki mark sitt á byggðina á /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2010/VI2010-006_web.pdf

• 55. Publications

  Arctic Climate Impact Assessment (ACIA) AMAP Report 2004:4. [Extended abstract] Snorrason, Á., & Jónsdóttir, J. F. (2004). Climate, Water and Renewable Energy in the Nordic Countries. Presented at the Joint Assembly, a partnership between CGU, AGU, SEG and EEGS, Montreal, Canada, May 17-21. [Abstract] Snorrason, Á., & Jónsdóttir, J. F. (2004). Impacts of climate change on renewable energy /climatology/research/ce/publications/

• 56. Kok_1-scenarios-lecture-1

  of complex interdependencies, the effort to solve one aspect may create other problems. Complex problem: A problem with many relationships between parts that give rise to collective behaviour of the system. Complex system approach A broad term encompassing a research approach to problems in many diverse disciplines including computer science, AI, biology, sociology, etc. Common elements /media/loftslag/Kok_1-scenarios-lecture-1.pdf

• 57. Recent publications

  The Icelandic Meteorological Office annually publishes a variety of reports, journals and articles. Below are examples of recent publications, most of which contribute to Arctic issues in general. Large-scale atmospheric conditions associated with major avalanche cycles and cold season weather hazards in Iceland (2013) The wind energy potential of Iceland (2013) Surface wind and air temperature over /about-imo/arctic/completed-projects/publications/

• 58. Dyrrdal_Anita_CES_2010

  parameters – In the light of climate change Norwegian Meteorological Institute met.no Observed changes in Norway between 1961-90 and 1979-08 • Winter precipitation has increased by 5-25 % • Winter temperature has increased by 0.91–1.34 ºC (Hanssen-Bauer et al., 2009) What about snow conditions? Introduction Data & Methods Results Norwegian Meteorological Institute met.no Snow parameters Start End /media/ces/Dyrrdal_Anita_CES_2010.pdf

• 59. Linnet_Ulfar_CES_2010

  HYDROPOWER IN ICELAND Impacts and adaption in future climate Authors Óli Grétar Blöndal Sveinsson (Phd) Úlfar Linnet (MSc) Elías B. Elíasson (MSc) Landsvirkjuns system •Installed power 1850 MW • 96 % Hydroelectricity • 4% Geothermal •Production capacity 13 TWh/a •Customer base • 86 % Large industries • 14 % Small businesses / Household •No connection to other countries •Reliability a major /media/ces/Linnet_Ulfar_CES_2010.pdf

• 60. Case_B___Road_transport_operation_and_infrastructure_planning

  on the Shifts of climatic zones from cooler or wetter to warmer or drier (a) 1971-2000 (b) 2010-39 A1B observational data set (0.25º grid) from Haylock et al. (2008) (b-d) Based on CMIP3 GCM runs for A1B & the delta-change method (c) 2040-69 A1B (d) 2070-99 A1B Jylhä et al. (2010) Uncertainties in climate change schematically Observed climate Future climate Natural /media/loftslag/Case_B___Road_transport_operation_and_infrastructure_planning.pdf