was represented on the native grids of each individual
model. Therefore, the monthly means of the modelled radiation were first interpolated
onto a common 2.5 x 2.5 degree grid, and 30 year running means were applied to smooth
the influence of random interannual variability. Thereafter, anomalies from the baseline
period mean were calculated.
2
Fig. 2. Percentage change of incident global solar
/media/ces/CES_D2.4_solar_CMIP3.pdf
15.9.04
Forum 2
3.11.04
Forum 3
12.04.05
Interviews
Jan/Feb 05
Group Model Building -
Identify Problems & Measures
8
Simulation Models
Testing Solutions
Forum 1
15.9.04
Forum 2
3.11.04
Forum 3
12.04.05
KG
Feb/March 05
Interviews
Jan/Feb 05
Forum 4
15.06.05
Forum 3
12.04.05
r 5
07.09.05
Forum 4
15.06.05
9
x
Measures Costs Ecological
Efficiency
Accep-
tance
Needed
control
Further
Effects
1....
2
/media/loftslag/Hare_2-participation.pdf
ANNUAL REPOR T 2014
2
I C E L A N D I C M E T O F F I C E / A N N U A L R E P O R T 2 0 1 4
?Veðurstofa Íslands 2015
Bústaðavegur 7–9, 108 Reykjavík, Iceland
The annual report was drafted by the IMO sta?.
Editor: Sigurlaug Gunnlaugsdóttir
Design and layout: Hvíta húsið
Printing: Oddi
ISSN 2251-5607
Cover photo: Gro Birkefeldt Møller Pedersen
I N D E X
4 Bárðarbunga
7 Rockslide
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/IMO_AnnualReport2014.pdf
of the analogue method is introduced. In Section 3 hydrological and me-
teorological data used in the analysis are presented. Section 4 describes the different strategies
considered for implementing the method and Section 5 presents some results. Some concluding
remarks are made in Section 6.
2 The analogue method
Let X(t) be a state of a dynamical system at time t, known through the observation of k variables
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2013/VI_2013_008.pdf
The observed travel time differences already mentioned can either be obtained from absolute times of
measured (picked) phase arrivals (logged in earthquake catalogs) or as relative times between phases
measured with cross-correlation (CC) of waveforms. CC between closely spaced earthquakes can give
highly accurate relative time differences between phases, and can correct bad picks from
/media/norsem/norsem_begga.pdf
Gíslason, Árni Snorrason, Jórunn Harðardóttir,
Svava Björk Þorláksdóttir, Árný E. Sveinbjörns-
dóttir & R. A. Neely (). Efnasamsetning,
rennsli og aurburður straumvatna á Austur-
landi X: Gagnagrunnur Jarðvísindastofnunar
og Veðurstofunnar. Raunvísindastofnun
Háskólans RH--, s.
Eydís Salóme Eiríksdóttir, Svava Björk
Þorláksdóttir, Jórunn Harðardóttir & Sigurður
Reynir Gíslason
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/arsskyrslur/VED_AnnualReport-2013_screen.pdf
Clausen, N.-E., Pryor, S. C., Guo Larsén, X., Hyvönen, R., Venäläinen, A., Suvilampi, E., Kjellström, E., Barthelmie, R. (2009). Are we facing increasing extreme winds in the future? EWEC 2009 Marseille session DT2A, 19 March 2009.
Engen-Skaugen,T & Førland, E.J. (2010). Future change in return values and extreme precipitation at selected catchments in Norway, met.no Report 20/2010 (draft).
Engen
/ces/publications/nr/1680
Pálsson F., Rögnvaldsson
Ó., Sigurðsson O., Snorrason Á., Sveinsson Ó. G. B., Thorsteinsson Th. 2007.
Effect of climate change on hydrology and hydro-resources in Iceland. Rep.
OS-2007/011, National Energy Authority, Reykjavík.
Liang, X.-Z., Li L. and Kunke K. E. 2004 Regional climate model simulation
of U.S. precipitation during 1982–2002. Part I: Annual cycle. J. Climate, 17,
3510–3529.
Pálsson, F
/media/ces/Paper-Olafur-Rognvaldsson_91.pdf
research
VIII. Resources: extensive vs limited
IX. Institutional conditions: open vs constrained
C Scenario content - complex vs simple:
X. Temporal nature: chain vs snapshot
XI. Variables: heterogeneous vs homogenous
XII. Dynamics: peripheral vs trend
XIII. Level of deviation: alternative vs conventional
XIV. Level of integration: high vs low
Scenarios - types
EXAMPLE 1 – EXPLORATORY SCENARIOS
/media/loftslag/Kok_2-scenarios-lecture-2.pdf