ANN−10
−5
0
5
10
15
20
delta w (%
)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17C
h
a
n
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o
s
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(
%
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Change in wind over the Baltic Sea in 70 years time at the time of CO2-doubling
Chen and Aschberger, 2006
17
CM
IP
G
CM
s
A need for regional ensemble simulations
head2right Changes are uncertain
head2right Size and sometimes even sign
/media/ces/Kjellstrom_Erik_CES_2010.pdf
including, for example, ensuring dam safety. The
goal of the new Climate and Energy Systems project is to look at climate impacts closer in time and assess the
a n o ect ves o t e ro ect
An evaluation of risk under increased uncertainty in
order to improve decision making in a changing
climate was carried out through the following steps:
development of the Nordic electricity system for the next
/media/ces/ces_risk_flyer.pdf
≤
≤
>−
0
00
0
)(
TTif
TTifTTDDFsnow
≤
>−
0
00
0
)(
TTif
TTifTTDDFice
Mean annual temperature difference
Difference relative to 1971-2000
Difference between 25% warmest and 25% coldest years
barb2right +1°C (25% warmest)
barb2right -0.7°C (25% coldest)
barb2right +1.7°C
Catchment elevation (m.a.s.l)
Catchment elevation (m.a.s.l)
s
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t
(
m
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)
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/media/ces/Crochet_Philippe_CES_2010.pdf
study and location of catchments. Catchment vhm278 is embedded
within vhm148 and catchment vhm277 is embedded within vhm149.
9
l
l l l
l
l
ll
l
l
l
l
l
l l l
l
l l
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ll l l l
l
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l ll
l
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l l
l l
l
0 100 200 300
10
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20
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Day since 1st Sept.
Q
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S O N D J F M A M J J A
l
l
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ll
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l
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15
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Q
m³
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/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/VI_2015_007.pdf
aversion should influence the first mover’s decision. The
98 Public Choice (2012) 151:91–119
Fi
g.
1
O
pt
im
al
co
n
tr
ib
u
tio
n
de
pe
nd
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Public Choice (2012) 151:91–119 99
Table 1 The predicted effect of
intrinsic preferences on first and
second movers’ contributions
1st mover 2nd mover
Disadvantageous Negative None
inequity aversion
Advantageous None Positive
inequity
/media/loftslag/Public-Choice-2012---Teyssier---Inequity-and-risk-aversion-in-sequential-public-good-games.pdf
[Abstract]
Aðalgeirsdóttir, G., Jóhannesson, T., Björnsson, H., Pálsson, F., & Sigurðsson, O. (2006). The Response of Hofsjökull and southern Vatnajökull, Iceland, to climate change. Journal of Geophysical Research, 111 (F03001), doi:10.1029/2005JF000388.
Andreassen, L. M., Elvehøy, H., Jóhannesson, T., Oerlemans, J., & Beldring, S. (2006). Changes in run-off from glaciated areas due
/climatology/research/ce/publications/
TS.1b, TS.2b}
Global anthropogenic GHG emissions
F-gases
CO2 from fossil fuel use and other sources
CH4 from agriculture, waste and energy
CO2 from deforestation, decay and peat
N2O from agriculture and others
GtC
O
2-eq / y
r
28.7
35.6
39.4
44.7
49.0
The largest growth in
GHG emissions between 1970 and 2004
has come from energy supply, transport and industry, while resi-
dential and commercial
/media/loftslag/IPPC-2007-ar4_syr.pdf
: Impacts, risks and adaptation, Oslo, 31 May-2 June 2010.
Ólafsson, H. & Rögnvaldsson, Ó. (2008). Regional and seasonal variability in precipitation scenarios for Iceland. In O. G. B. Sveinsson, S. M. Garðarsson & S. Gunnlaugsdóttir (Eds.), Northern hydrology and its global role: XXV Nordic hydrological conference, Nordic Association for Hydrology, Reykjavík, Iceland August 11-13, 2008, pp 623-629
/ces/publications/nr/1680
Research Basins (NRB) International Symposium and Workshop: 12 August - 18 August, 2009, Iqaluit-Pangnirtung-Kuujjuaq : [conference proceedings, field guide] /editors: Kathy L. Young, William Quinton.Toronto: York University, August 2009. bls. 285-289.
Snorrason, Á. & Harðardóttir, J. (2008). Climate and Energy Systems (CES) 2007-2010. A new Nordic energy research project. In O. G. B. Sveinsson, S. M
/ces/publications/nr/1936
(Percent) By
Year Built Categories
Percent of Homes Damaged By Year Built
Categories
36
24
26
28
30
32
34
Pre 1980 80-96 97-2002 Post 2002
Percent Damaged
All Homes – Damage Per Square
Foot
All Homes - Damage Per Square Foot
2
2.5
D
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< 120 120-129 130-139 140-149 > 149
D
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m
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P
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r
S
q
.
F
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t
Pre 1980
1980-1996
1997-2002
Post 2002
/media/loftslag/FMI_-_Disaster_Mitigation.pdf