in the middle
of the large-scale domain. For target locations less than 750 km from the boundaries of the
area for which RCM data are available (the grey shading in Figure 3.1), the large-scale
domain is reduced in size. For example, for a grid box situated 400 km south of the northern
boundary, the large-scale domain is reduced to 800 km in north-south direction, but its width
/media/ces/D2.3_CES_Prob_fcsts_GCMs_and_RCMs.pdf
-out group, assuming the initiative is at the public
side.
Red: inside transport system; blue: direct impact on size & quality of demand for road vehicle
movements; grey: auxiliary services that strongly interact with effects of CC.
Various possible effects of climate change on road infrastructure and its users
The expected effects of a changing climate in Nordic countries imply among others
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Figure 5. AMF frequency distributions (Q(D;T ) vs. T ) at target sites treated as ungauged,
using best overall index flood model (bµ(D) = q0(AP)q1): vhm59 (top-left), vhm64 (top-
right), vhm66 (bottom-left), vhm102 (bottom-right). Solid black line corresponds to the
reference GEV distribution fitted to the observed AMF sample. Grey shaded region corre-
sponds to the reference 95% CI. Red solid line
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-
Fig. 2. Map showing location of meteorological stations ( ) in southern Norway used in this study. Glaciers are shaded in dark grey.The main water divide between east and west is shown as a thick grey line. Information about the stations is given in Tables 1 and 2
MODELLING LONG-TERM SUMMER AND WINTER BALANCES
? The authors 2009
Journal compilation ? 2009 Swedish Society for Anthropology
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J A
0 100 200 30020
0
60
0
100
0
Days since Sept. 1st
Q
(m
^3
/s)
Obs
Pred−nearest
Pred−weight
Method 4 T+2: RMSE−nearest= 69.6 RMSE−weight= 44.5
S O N D J F M A M J J A
Figure 7. Observed and predicted daily discharges at vhm 64 for a forecast range (T) of 2 days
and water-year 2004–2005, using methods 1 to 4 with rescaling. The 80%, 90% and 95% pre-
diction intervals are represented by grey/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2013/VI_2013_008.pdf