to 0.88 m (Thomé-Schmidt et al.) in the next 60–90 years.
Economic growth, population growth and intensified agricultural land use will increase demands on
fresh groundwater resources in the future. The uppermost surface groundwater is and will be
increasingly contaminated due to the land use. Changes in evaporation and recharge patterns will lead
to increased demand for water
/media/loftslag/Rolf_Johnsen_(Region_Midt,_Dk).pdf
): ~0.1 m w.e.
RCM analysis
HIRHAM4
RCAO
mean corr: 0.16 m w.e.
mean corr: 0.09 m w.e.
final results
bias correction:
• Ta = TaRCM + Toffset
• Pdaily = PRCM(daily) · (Pmeas(80-06) / PRCM(80-06))
• Sin : no bias correction required
discussion and synthesis
16 / 16
• scenarios?
• analysis of RCM performance
• complex bias pattern
• might contribute to improvement of RCMs
• RCMs for local glacier mass
/media/ces/Machguth_Horst_CES_2010.pdf
Oddur Sigurðsson, Óðinn Þórarinsson, Philippe Crochet, Tómas Jóhannesson & Þorsteinn Þorsteinsson (2012). Floods in Iceland. In: Z. W. Kundzewicz (ed), Changes in Flood Risk in Europe. Oxfordshire: IAHS Special Publication 10, 257-276.
Hálfdán Ágústsson & Haraldur Ólafsson (2012). The bimodal downslope windstorms at Kvisker. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics 116(1-2), 27-42, doi:10.1007/s00703
/about-imo/arctic/completed-projects/publications/
M A M J J A l
ll l
l
l
l
l
l
l
lll
l
l
lll
0 100 200 300
60
0
80
0
100
0
Days since Sept. 1st
Q
(m
³/s
)
vhm102
S O N D J F M A M J J A
l
l
l
ll
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
ll
l
l
l
l
l
l
0 100 200 300
30
40
50
60
70
Days since Sept. 1st
Q
(m
³/s
)
vhm116
S O N D J F M A M J J A
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
0 100 200 300
20
0
30
0
40
0
50
0
Days since Sept. 1st
Q
(m
³/s
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/VI_2015_009.pdf
/ design,
availability, materials, ICT,
modal split)
26.8.2011Adriaan Perrels/IL 5
Categorising stages of adaptation
Passive Adaptation
- automatic in nature
and economy
- only ex post measures
(no anticipation)
Active Adaptation
- automatic in nature
and economy
- ex ante and ex post
policies
Emission scenario dependent
baseline (A1-T, B1, A2, etc.)
Reference costs and benefits
/media/loftslag/Perrels-CBA.pdf
on the costs of
weather related delays and interruptions. Leviäkangas (2007) mentions an amount of 20 ~ 30
million euro per year. As mentioned before over time road users will start to adapt if they realize
that certain delays occur too frequently. Responses could vary from shifts in departure time to
switching to another mode or even relocation of activities.
A note on service levels
In road
/media/loftslag/Outline_for_the_case_Road_maintenance_in_a_changing_climate.pdf
0.95
vhm149 1.46
vhm205 1.01
vhm206 1.28
vhm221 0.9
vhm265 1.16
vhm277 0.87
vhm278 -0.12
18
l
l l l
l
llll
l
llll
lll
ll
lll
lllll
lllll
ll l
l l
l
l
l l
l l
l
l
−2 0 2 4 6
0
1
2
3
4
−ln(−ln(1−1/T))
Q/
E[
Q]
1 2 5 10 20 50 100
T (years)
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
vhm148
vhm149
vhm205
vhm206
vhm221
vhm265
vhm277
vhm278
Regional +/− 95% CI
H1 0.995
H2 −0.877
l
l
l
l
l
l l l l
l
l
l l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/VI_2015_007.pdf
Midtjylland. pp. 55 pages.
Outcomes of 5+1 workshops 2009–2010 in Horsens.
o A0 Map of Horsens city showing 0.5–2.5 m sea level rise and flooded areas in the city
centre.
o A1 Sector conceptual maps for each of the subsectors/subareas: Industrial area owners,
Farmers, Hedensted town, Horsens city, Road and railways and Nature with a short
identification of the adaptive challenge (e.g
/media/vedurstofan/NONAM_1st_workshop_summary_v3.pdf
Lidar measurements of the cryosphere
Reykholt, Iceland, June 20–21, 2013
Lidar measurements
of the cryosphere
Reykholt, Iceland, June 20–21, 2013
Abstract volume
Lidar map of the ice-covered stratovolcano Öræfajökull in S-Vatnajökull, S-Iceland,
surveyed by TopScan GmbH in August 2011
Lidar measurements of the cryosphere
/media/vatnafar/joklar/Reykholt-abstracts.pdf