Flooding in Norway under a near
future 2021-2050 climate: Rainfall vs.
snowmelt floods and their uncertainties
Deborah Lawrence1, Torill Engen-Skaugen2,
Lars Roald1, Gusong Ruan1, Stein Beldring1
1Norwegian Water Resources and Energy Directorate (NVE)
2 Norwegian Meteorological Institute (met.no)
Climate change impacts on flooding
and their uncertainties
square6 Demand for information regarding
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; fax: +358 20 490 2590.
E-mail address: Noora.Veijalainen@ymparisto.fi (N. Veijalainen).
Journal of Hydrology 391 (2010) 333–350
Contents lists available at ScienceDirect
Journal of Hydrology
journal homepage: www.elsevier .com/ locate / jhydrol
Author's personal copy
narios from GCMs or RCMs, and with different emission scenarios
(e.g. Menzel et al., 2006; Minville et al., 2008; Prudhomme and Da
/media/ces/Journal_of_Hydrology_Veijalainen_etal.pdf
regimes of
Number of flood and drought disasters in the past
decades per case study
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
1977-1986 1987-1996 1997-2006
Time period
Total number of flood and
drought disaster
s
Rivierenland
Alentejo
Upper Tisza - Hungary
Upper Tisza - Ukraine
Fig. 1 Number of reported flood and drought disasters in the past
decades in Rivierenland, Alentejo, Hungarian part of Upper Tisza,
and Ukrainian
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andEnergy Directorate (NVE), Oslo, Norway2Department of Geosciences, University of Oslo, Norway3Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands
Andreassen, L. and Oerlemans, J., 2009: Modelling long-term
summer and winter balances and the climate sensitivity of Stor-breen, Norway. Geogr. Ann. 91 A (4): 233–251.
ABSTRACT. Measurements of winter balance (bw
/media/ces/GA_2009_91A_4_Andreassen.pdf
/CES_D2.4_task1.html
2
Table of Contents
Abstract 1
1. Introduction 2
2. Methods and data sets 5
3. Results for temperature 7
4. Results for precipitation 14
5. Tables for individual locations 19
6. Summary 24
Appendix: details of methodology 26
A.1 Data sets 26
A.2 Derivation of regression coefficients 27
A.3 Smoothing of the probability distributions 30
References 31
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Veðurstofa Íslands
2 Almannavarnadeild Ríkislögreglustjóra
3 Jarðvísindastofnun Háskólans
4 Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Bologna
5 Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Pisa
6 Jarðvísindadeild Háskóla Íslands
7 Agricultural University of Iceland
8 Consultant
Skýrsla nr. Dags. ISSN Opin Lokuð
VÍ 2020-011 Desember 2020 1670-8261 Skilmálar:
Heiti skýrslu
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Lawrence
Floods in Norway under a near future 2021-2050 climate: Hydrological projections for rainfall vs. snowmelt floods and their uncertainties
Noora Veijalainen Climate change and lake regulation in Finland - Impacts and adaptation possibilities
Sten Bergström Swedish guidelines for design floods for dams in a changing climate
Hydrological projections, glaciers and ice-sheets
Tómas
/ces/publications/nr/2016
obscure observations incl. radar.
Interaction with wind is poorly understood hard to extract a
meaningful top height.
Dry ash has low reflectivity
Plume height during eruption
Dry ash shows poor radar reflectiivity
IMO researchers are
looking carefully at the
plume.
complex vertical
structure
plume height modulated by strong
winds
SO2 vs Ash
Ash resuspension – possible
problem
On June 4-5th
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