and minimize the victims of earthquakes. The trial in L'Aquila condemns some of IASPEI's most brilliant scientists, who have dedicated their lives to the reduction of seismic risk. IASPEI is confident that the L'Aquila case will provide the opportunity to develop a proper link between science, policy makers and society in order to avoid any type of miscommunication of information and scientific knowledge
/earthquakes-and-volcanism/articles/nr/2568
understood and adhered to.
IASPEI is confident that the L’Aquila case will provide the opportunity to develop a proper
link between science, policy makers and society in order to avoid any type of
miscommunication of information and scientific knowledge in the future.
1 http://www.iaspei.org
2 http://www.iugg.org/resolutions
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/hlidarefni/ESC-IASPEI-statement-LAquila-2012-1.pdf
is uncertain if s/he lacks confidence about the specific outcomes of an
event. Reasons for this lack of confidence might include a judgement of the information as
incomplete, blurred, inaccurate, unreliable, inconclusive, or potentially false. Similarly, a person is
certain if s/he is confident about the outcome of an event. It is possible that a person feels certain
but has misjudged
/media/loftslag/Jens_Christian_Refsgaard_(GEUS,_Dk).pdf
tends to decrease in warmer climate over the central and
eastern parts of the region, however, only the changes (by 2-4ºC) over Scandinavia as well as in
north-western and southern Russia appear to be confident. There is a slight increase (by 1-3ºC) is
expected over southern Europe be due to pronounced increase of extremely high daily
temperature maxima in summer. The decrease in annual extreme
/media/ces/CES_D2.4_VMGO.pdf
uncertainties are often poorly communicated to the data users even though adaptation essentially is
a risk assessment process. We cannot know the precise year or even the decade for many of the climatic
changes, not to mention the extent of them. Are the data users overly confident in model predictions?
2. Is there even a need to pursue for better constrained climate projections?
Adaptive measures
/media/loftslag/programme2---PhD-Workshop-preceding-Adaptation-Research-Conference.pdf
that learning to improve the
next stage of management (Holling, 1978). AM treats
policies and management interventions as experimental
probes designed to learn more about the system; they are
not confident prescriptions (Lee, 1993). Monitoring before
and during the intervention, enables the system response to
be determined and thereby allows managers to learn from
past experience and to translate the best
/media/loftslag/Henriksen_Barlebo-2008-AWM_BBN-Journ_Env_Management.pdf
is confident about the outcome of
an event. It is possible that a person feels certain but has mis-
judged the information (i.e. his/her judgement is wrong).
There are many different decision situations, with different
possibilities for characterising uncertainty. A first distinction is
between ignorance as a lack of awareness that knowledge is
wrong or imperfect, and uncertainty as a known degree
/media/loftslag/Refsgaard_etal-2007-Uncertainty-EMS.pdf