....................................................................................... 99
APPENDIX I. Daily tephra dispersal simulation .................................................................... 102
APPENDIX II. HEKLA 1980 – The likelihood of receiving tephra at different locations .... 104
APPENDIX III. KATLA 1918 – The likelihood of receiving tephra at different locations ... 107
APPENDIX IV. ÖRÆFAJÖKULL 1362
/media/vedurstofan-utgafa-2020/VI_2020_004.pdf
MIETOINEN SAARI FI +60:37:48 +21:52:12 13 T
706 TURKU AIRPORT FI +60:30:00 +22:16:12 47 TP
708 JOKIOINEN OBSERVATOR FI +60:49:12 +23:30:00 104 T
710 UTTI AIRPORT/VALKEAL FI +60:54:00 +26:55:48 99 T
717 KAUHAVA AIRPORT FI +63:06:00 +23:01:48 42 T
718 AHTARI MYLLYMAKI FI +62:31:48 +24:13:12 157
/media/ces/CES_D2.4_task1.pdf
with precipitation data from Fokstua asinput and a much lower correlation (r2=0.48) wasobtained (De Woul and Hock 2005; Table 2) thanthe r2 of 0.75 we obtained by using a combinationof Bulken and Røldal. Their observation period
was shorter (45 years) than the period used in thisstudy (58 years). Rasmussen and Conway (2005)obtained r2=0.63 using an upper-air model for theperiod 1948/49–1998/99/media/ces/GA_2009_91A_4_Andreassen.pdf
aversion should influence the first mover’s decision. The
98 Public Choice (2012) 151:91–119
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Public Choice (2012) 151:91–119 99
Table 1 The predicted effect of
intrinsic preferences on first and
second movers’ contributions
1st mover 2nd mover
Disadvantageous Negative None
inequity aversion
Advantageous None Positive
inequity
/media/loftslag/Public-Choice-2012---Teyssier---Inequity-and-risk-aversion-in-sequential-public-good-games.pdf
judgment and statistical analysis of a body of evidence (e.g. observations
or model results), then the following likelihood ranges are used to express the assessed probability of occurrence: virtually certain >99%;
extremely likely >95%; very likely >90%; likely >66%; more likely than not > 50%; about as likely as not 33% to 66%; unlikely <33%; very
unlikely <10%; extremely unlikely <5
/media/loftslag/IPPC-2007-ar4_syr.pdf