respec-
tively. Due to limited data availability, for the SMHI-RCAO run, the 20th Century control period
is restricted to the 20-year period 1971–90, and the second 21st Century reference period is limited
to the years of 2070–80. For the MetNo-HIRHAM runs, no data are available during the second
21st Century reference period.
3 Spatial Variability of Climate Trends
This section discusses
/media/ces/2010_005_.pdf
Delta Change Method
(correction of observed precipitation)
Transformation of precipitation
cont
fut
obsfut M
M
PP =
Observeret n dbør
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
1-12-99 11-12-99 21-12-99 31-12-99
Dato
N
ed
bø
r
(m
m
/d
ag
)
Observeret
Skal ring af e
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
4
- - - -
t
N
ed
bø
r
(m
m
/d
ag
)
Observeret D lta Change
Critical assumption:
Future dynamics = present dynamics
No change in number
/media/loftslag/Refsgaard_2-uncertainty.pdf