and
how future climate change within the next 20–30 years can impact these resources.
In the future, an increase in the utilization of various sources of bioenergy will increase in Nordic
countries. This raises a question what is the biomass production potential of forests now and in the
future and how sustainable the energy production based on biomass are owing to possible large-scale
harvestings
/media/ces/CES_BioFuels_Flyer_new.pdf
;
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/media/loftslag/Hare-2011-ParticipatoryModelling.pdf
input is often ad hoc
and does not do justice to either the richness of the stories or the
quantitative complexity of the models. The weak link between the
qualitative and quantitative scenarios might well be the most
problematic aspect of the Story-and-Simulation methodology.
The main objective of this paper is to introduce, explain, and
illustrate the potential of a possible improvement
/media/loftslag/Kok_JGEC658_2009.pdf
sr
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/media/loftslag/2012-Refsgaard_etal-uncertainty_climate-change-adaptation-MITI343.pdf
Of Precipitation In Latvia. XXV Nordic Hydrological conference, Northern Hydrology and its Global Role, 11-13 August, 2008, Reykjavik, Iceland. ISBN 978-9979-68-238-7. NHP Report No. 50, P. 134-142.
Hisdal, H., Barthelmie, R., Lindström, G., Kolcova, T., Kriauciuniené, J. & Reihan, A. (2007). Statistical Analysis. In: J. Fenger (Ed.) Impacts of Climate Change on Renewable Energy Sources: Their role
/ces/publications/nr/1943
Oddur Sigurðsson, Óðinn Þórarinsson, Philippe Crochet, Tómas Jóhannesson & Þorsteinn Þorsteinsson (2012). Floods in Iceland. In: Z. W. Kundzewicz (ed), Changes in Flood Risk in Europe. Oxfordshire: IAHS Special Publication 10, 257-276.
Hálfdán Ágústsson & Haraldur Ólafsson (2012). The bimodal downslope windstorms at Kvisker. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics 116(1-2), 27-42, doi:10.1007/s00703
/about-imo/arctic/completed-projects/publications/
the contiguous USA. 30th Annual Applied Geography Conference, Indianapolis, October 2007. 10 pp.
Clausen, N.-E., Lundsager, P., Barthelmie, R., Holttinen, H., Laakso, T. & Pryor, S.C. (2007). Wind Power. In: J. Fenger (Ed.) Impacts of Climate Change on Renewable Energy Sources: Their role in the Nordic energy system, Nord 2007:003, 105-128.
Clausen N.E., Pryor S.C., Larsén X.G., Hyvönen R
/ces/publications/nr/1944
ANN−10
−5
0
5
10
15
20
delta w (%
)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17C
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a
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s
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d
(
%
)
Change in wind over the Baltic Sea in 70 years time at the time of CO2-doubling
Chen and Aschberger, 2006
17
CM
IP
G
CM
s
A need for regional ensemble simulations
head2right Changes are uncertain
head2right Size and sometimes even sign
/media/ces/Kjellstrom_Erik_CES_2010.pdf