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Ensemble approach for probabilistic
hydrological projections
Catchment
/media/ces/Lawrence_Deborah_CES_2010.pdf
located events to invert for a new 1D minimum velocity model for both
P- and S-waves using VELEST. A depth region of a lower vpvs ratio down to 20 km depth is revealed.
We perform relocation of the whole dataset using the new velocity model and the double-difference
relocation technique. We look into details of the depth distribution of the events and how the relocation
procedure affects
/media/norsem/norsem_buhcheva.pdf
will occasionally have to deal with
spurious events. At SNSN we are therefore investigating the feasibility to construct an event verifier.
The basic idea is to emulate the decision made by a seismologist viewing a section of recorded traces,
sorted by epicentral distance, and expecting to see direct P-phase arrivals on most traces out to the
most distant phase pick. Here we will report
/media/norsem/norsem_schmidt.pdf
). The brittle-plastic transition and depth of seismic faulting, Geol.
Rundsch., 77, 319–328.
Scholz, C. H. (2002). The Mechanics of Earthquakes and Faulting, 2nd ed., Cambridge
Univ., Cambridge.
Sibson, R. H. (1984). Roughness at the Base of the Seismogenic Zone: Contributing
Factors.J. Geophys. Res., 89, B7, 5791–5799.
Sigmundsson, F., P. Einarsson, R. Bilham, and E. Sturkell (1995). Rift-transform
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2009/VI_2009_013.pdf
inty in decision making linking pluriform uncertainty combining certified and tacit knowledge
Tommy Chan Mich el Laiho Patrick Driscoll Kare Lundgren Hector Guin a Barrientos
Eivind Junker Jussi Ylhäisi Athanasios Votsis
Karoliina Pilli-Sihvola Yuang Zheng Väi ö Nurmi Jiao Xi nj Wejs
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/media/loftslag/programme2---PhD-Workshop-preceding-Adaptation-Research-Conference.pdf
& Ólafsson, H. (2010). Validation of numerical simulations of precipitation in complex terrain at high temporal resolution. Hydrology Research, 41 (3-4), 164-170.
Christensen, J.H., Boberg, F., Christensen, O.B. & Lucas-Picher, P. (2008), On the need for bias correction of regional climate change projections of temperature and precipitation, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L20709, doi:10.1029/2008GL035694
/ces/publications/nr/1680
12 1 month 12
Columbia River Basin Water Resource Sensitivity
to PCM Climate Change Scenarios
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
Portland-
Vancouver
Spring Flood
Control
Reliability
Portland-
Vancouver
Winter Flood
Control
Reliability
Autumn Firm
Power
Reliability
(November)
% of Control
Hydropower
Revenues
McNary
Instream
Target
Reliability
(April-
August)
Middle Snake
Agricultural
/media/ces/Lettenmaier_Dennis_CES_2010pdf.pdf
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P. van der Keur et al.
(floo
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ement
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s):
Uncert
aint
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ha
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to
be
incorp
orated
:
1:
Ep
ist
/media/loftslag/VanderKeur_etal-2008-Uncertainty_IWRM-WARM.pdf
The
American Political Science Review 97:233-243.
Jessop, B. 2005. The political economy of scale and
European governance. Tijdschrift voor Economische
en Sociale Geografie 96:225-230.
Katz, D., and I. Fischhendler. 2011. Spatial and
temporal dynamics of linkage strategies in Arab-
Israeli water negotiations. Political Geography 30
(1):13-24. doi:10.1016/j.polgeo.2010.12.002.
Kok, K., R. Biggs, and M
/media/loftslag/Kok_and_Veldkamp_editorial_ES-2011-4160.pdf
?
• Based on thermodynamic and heat
transfer models accounting for:
Wire
resistance
Solar
heating
Radiative
cooling
Convective
cooling
June 2010 7
How are ratings determined?
• UK network standards assume seasonal
average temperatures and worst-case
wind conditions, i.e. low wind speeds
Summer → 20˚C; Spring/Autumn → 9˚C;
Winter → 2˚C
• Real-time monitoring (‘dynamic rating’) is
not commonly
/media/ces/Cradden_Lucy_CES_2010.pdf