FOREST BIOMASS FOR ENERGY PRODUCTION –
POTENTIALS, MANAGEMENT AND RISKS UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE
Ashraful Alam, Antti Kilpeläinen, Seppo Kellomäki
School of Forest Sciences,
University of Eastern Finland, Joensuu
F t Cli t d R bl E I t Ri k d Ad t tiu ure Cl ma e an enewa e nergy – mpac s, s s an ap a on
Oslo, Norway
2 June, 2010
Contents
• Forestry in Finland
• Challenges
• Objectives
/media/ces/Alam_Ashraful_CES_2010.pdf
in Iceland: Climate projections and historical changes in precipitation type Andréa-Giorgio R. Massad, Guðrún Nína Petersen, Halldór Björnsson, Matthew J. Roberts & Tinna Þórarinsdóttir99
20,6
/about-imo/publications/2022/
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CES conference, Oslo, Norway, 31 May - 2 June 2010
Typical features
• develop slowly,
• become severe when they cover a large region and persist for an
extended period.
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Anne K. Fleig et al. “Regional hydrological droughts and weather types in north
/media/ces/AnneFleig_May2010_CES.pdf
interpolated to
VIC scale
Regional Bias:
spatial example
GSM: NCEP Global
Spectral Model
obs prcp GSM prcp
obs temp GSM temp
JULY
Verification using NCEP
Global Spectral Model
(GSM) output
Process into the daily VIC-scale
input time series
Force hydrology model to
produce streamflow
Ohio R. flow @ Metropolis, IL
Start with GSM-scale monthly observed
T & P (“unbiased”) time series
/media/ces/Lettenmaier_Dennis_CES_2010pdf.pdf
Results
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Max snow depth
Trend slope
Number of snow days
Period II
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Max snow depth Number of snow days
Norwegian Meteorological Institute met.no
Correlation analysis (1961-08)
138 mutual stations
Introduction Data & Methods Results
Correlation with
winter
temperature
Correlation with
winter
precipitation
In warmer regions both snow
parameters
/media/ces/Dyrrdal_Anita_CES_2010.pdf
Veðurstofu Íslands VÍ-G99007-JA02.
Sigurður Th. Rögnvaldsson 1999. Kort yfir sjálfvirkt ákvarðaðar staðsetningar jarðskjálfta á Íslandi. URL: http://hraun.vedur.is/ja/englishweb/index.html, 21.06.1999.
Sigurður Th. Rögnvaldsson og R. Slunga 1993. Routine fault plane solutions for local networks: A test with synthetic data. Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 83, pp. 1232 1247.
Sigurður Th. Rögnvaldsson og R/earthquakes-and-volcanism/conferences/jsr-2009/sigurdur/
Veðurstofu Íslands VÍ-G99007-JA02.
Sigurður Th. Rögnvaldsson 1999. Kort yfir sjálfvirkt ákvarðaðar staðsetningar jarðskjálfta á Íslandi. URL: http://hraun.vedur.is/ja/englishweb/index.html, 21.06.1999.
Sigurður Th. Rögnvaldsson og R. Slunga 1993. Routine fault plane solutions for local networks: A test with synthetic data. Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 83, pp. 1232 1247.
Sigurður Th. Rögnvaldsson og R/earthquakes-and-volcanism/conferences/jsr-2009/sigurdur
values
t
mean temperature
tx
average daily maximum temperature
txx
highest maximum temperature month/year
txx_dag1
date of highest maximum temperature
tn
average daily minimum temperature
tnn
lowest minimum temperature month/year
tnn_dag1
date of lowest minimum temperature
rh
mean relative humidity
r
preciptiation total
rx
maximum 24-hour precipiation
/climatology/data/
by season (%) between
1991-2007 and 1961-1990 in the Baltic countries
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/media/ces/ces_SA_group_flyer_new.pdf
inty in decision making linking pluriform uncertainty combining certified and tacit knowledge
Tommy Chan Mich el Laiho Patrick Driscoll Kare Lundgren Hector Guin a Barrientos
Eivind Junker Jussi Ylhäisi Athanasios Votsis
Karoliina Pilli-Sihvola Yuang Zheng Väi ö Nurmi Jiao Xi nj Wejs
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/media/loftslag/programme2---PhD-Workshop-preceding-Adaptation-Research-Conference.pdf