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  • 71. VAT_newsletter_2018_06

     hopuðu jökul-sporðar víða um tugi metra. Af þeim jöklum sem mældir eru af fé lög um í Jöklarannsóknafélagi Íslands hop uðu Kalda lóns-jökull í Drangajökli og Hagafells jök ull eystri í Langjökli mest, eða – m. Hraðast hörfar Breiða merkurjökull þar sem kelr af honum í Jökulsárlón, milli  og  m árlega. Árlegt hlutfall íslenskra jökla sem gengu fram eða hop uðu á árunum  til /media/Eplicanámskeið/VAT_newsletter_2018_06.pdf
  • 72. Statistical Analysis

    and Chemistry of the Earth, Special Issue: COST Action (Accepted for publication). Jónsdóttir, J. F., Uvo, C. B. & Clarke, R. T. (2008). Filling gaps in measured discharge series with model-generated series. Technical Notes. Journal of Hydrological Engineering, 13, 9, 905-909. Jónsdóttir, J. F., Uvo, C. B. & Clarke, R. T. (2008). Trend analysis in Icelandic discharge, temperature and precipitation series /ces/publications/nr/1943
  • 73. FMI_-_Disaster_Mitigation

    -1996 – 1997-2002 – Post 2002 Overall Effect of Wind Speed on Damages Damaged Homes By Wind Categories 100 120 0 20 40 60 80 < 120 120- 129 130- 139 140- 149 > 149 P e r c e n t Damaged Homes (Cum. Percent) Average Home Size By Year Built Categories Average Home Size By Year Built Categories 2450 2500 2550 2150 2200 2250 2300 2350 2400 Pre 1980 80-96 97-2002 Post 2002 Avg. Sq. Feet Damaged Homes /media/loftslag/FMI_-_Disaster_Mitigation.pdf
  • 74. VI_2009_002rs

  • 75. Eyjafjallajökull eruption 2010 - the role of IMO

    Arason T., Geirsson H., Karlsdóttir S., Hjaltadóttir S., Ólafsdóttir U., Thorbjarnardóttir B., Skaftadóttir T., Sturkell E., Jónasdóttir E.B., Hafsteinsson G., Sveinbjörnsson H., Stefánsson R., and Jónsson T.V., 2005, Forecasting and Monitoring a Subglacial Eruption in Iceland, Eos, Vol. 86, No. 26, p. 245-252, 28 June 2005. Location Location of the weather radar at Keflavik airport /earthquakes-and-volcanism/articles/nr/2072
  • 76. HARMONIE - numerical weather prediction model 

    was originally suggested by Páll Bergþórsson, former director of IMO, and Bo R. Döös in 1955. In addition to the analysis, the model also needs prediction of the development of weather at the boundaries of the domain, retrieved from a coarser resolution global NWP simulation from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). HARMONIE is developed for horizontal resolution ranging from /weather/articles/nr/3232
  • 77. Risk Assessments

    Publications and presentations Risk Assessments Other international Molarius, R., Wessberg, N., Keränen, J & Schabel, J /ces/publications/nr/1941
  • 78. Kjellstrom_Erik_CES_2010

    ANN−10 −5 0 5 10 15 20 delta w (% ) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17C h a n g e i n g e o s t r o p h i c w i n d s p e e d ( % ) Change in wind over the Baltic Sea in 70 years time at the time of CO2-doubling Chen and Aschberger, 2006 17 CM IP G CM s A need for regional ensemble simulations head2right Changes are uncertain head2right Size and sometimes even sign /media/ces/Kjellstrom_Erik_CES_2010.pdf
  • 79. Linnet_Ulfar_CES_2010

    2015, 2025, 2035 and 2050 North (Blanda) East (Karahnjukar) South (Thorisvatn) Change in average inflow to the main storage reservoirs Watershed A v e r a g e i n f l o w [ m 3 / s ] 0 2 0 4 0 6 0 8 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 Last 50 years Last 20 years Last 15 years Last 10 years Last 5 years Temperature corrected Transformation of climate measurements •Change in temperature • 0.75 °C/100y 1950-1975 • 1.55 /media/ces/Linnet_Ulfar_CES_2010.pdf
  • 80. RaisanenJouni_CES_2010

    not representative of present or future climate conditions? Winter mean T in Helsinki (1961-2008) 1961- 20081961- 1990 Temperature (°C) P r o b a b i l i t y d e n s i t y -12 4 Simplest case: change in mean climate, with no change in the magnitude of variability If variability changes as well, the two tails of the distribution (e.g., warm and cold) will be affected differently. IPCC (2001 /media/ces/RaisanenJouni_CES_2010.pdf

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