developed during the second scenario workshop (WS2) did not include any original GEO-4
text, except for Economy First. WS2 stories contained largely new material reecting the view of the subgroups. Additionally, the
title of each story was changed, indicating the increased ownership of the stakeholders. The nal scenarios were entitled: Economy
First (EcF), Policy Rules (PoR), Fortress Europe (FoE
/media/loftslag/Kok_et_al._TFSC_published_2011.pdf
i
s
c
h
a
r
g
e
m
3
/
s
Observed 1961-90
MetNo-HIRLAM-HadCM3 A1B 2021-50
DMI-HIRLAM-ECHAM5 A1B 2021-50
SMHI-RCA3-BMC A1B 2021-50
Observed and modeled runoff , Aiviekste
0.00
20.00
40.00
60.00
80.00
100.00
120.00
Observed Modeled Reference
mod SMHI
1961-90
mod SMHI
2021-50
Reference
mod DMI 1961-
90
mod DMI
2021-50
Reference
mod MetNO
1961-90
mod MetNO
2021-50
MAM JJA
SON DJF
m3/s
Monthly
/media/ces/Kurpniece_Liga_CES_2010.pdf
AN ENSEMBLE OF REGIONAL
CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS FOR
THE NORDIC COUNTRIES
Erik Kjellström, Martin Drews, Jens
Hesselbjerg Christensen, Jan Erik Haugen,
Hilde Haakenstad and Igor Shkolnik
A changing climate in the Nordic region
Climate change in Northern Sweden:
Comparing 2071-2100 vs 1961-1990 (SRES A1B)
Lind & Kjellström, 2008
A changing wind climate in the Nordic
region?
DJF MAM JJA SON
/media/ces/Kjellstrom_Erik_CES_2010.pdf
6University of Washington,
Seattle, WA 98195, USA. 7NOAA Geophysical Fluid
Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ 08540, USA.
*Author for correspondence. E-mail: cmilly@usgs.gov.
An uncertain future challenges water planners.
Published by AAAS
on July 12, 201
1
www.sciencemag.or
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Downloaded from
1 FEBRUARY 2008 VOL 319 SCIENCE www.sciencemag.org574
POLICYFORUM
combined with opera-
tions
/media/loftslag/Milly_etal-2008-Stationarity-dead-Science.pdf
the different realizations of climate change are not
independent.
The first four rows of Figs. 3.4 and 3.5 show the diagnosed geographical distributions of a, b,
and 0 for temperature and precipitation change in the four three month-seasons (DJF =
December-January-February, MAM = March-April-May, JJA = June-July-August, SON =
September-October-November) and for the annual mean
/media/ces/D2.3_CES_Prob_fcsts_GCMs_and_RCMs.pdf
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/media/ces/2010_017.pdf