developed during the second scenario workshop (WS2) did not include any original GEO-4
text, except for Economy First. WS2 stories contained largely new material reecting the view of the subgroups. Additionally, the
title of each story was changed, indicating the increased ownership of the stakeholders. The nal scenarios were entitled: Economy
First (EcF), Policy Rules (PoR), Fortress Europe (FoE
/media/loftslag/Kok_et_al._TFSC_published_2011.pdf
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/media/loftslag/Hare-2011-ParticipatoryModelling.pdf
: Geology and historical floods (pdf 5.43 Mb)Pages 17–44Matthew J. Roberts og Magnús T. GudmundssonShort summaryChapter III. Öræfajökull Volcano: Eruption melting scenarios (pdf 3.33 Mb)Pages 45–72Magnús T. Gudmundsson, Þórdís Högnadóttir og Eyjólfur MagnússonShort summaryChapter IV. Öræfajökull Volcano: Numerical simulations of eruption-induced jökulhlaups using the SAMOS flow model (pdf 5.89 Mb)Pages
/volcanoes/about-volcanoes/oraefajokull/new-research/
a realistic
description of fast-rising jökulhlaups.
iv
Ágrip
Í Skaftá hafa mælst 45 jökulhlaup síðan 1955. Þessi hlaup vaxa hraðar en hefðbundin
jökulhlaup frá Grímsvötnum og hafa því verið nefnd „hraðvaxandi jökulhlaup“. Þau
eru upprunnin úr lónum sem eru undir eystri og vestari Skaftárkatli í vestanverðum
Vatnajökli. Kötlunum er viðhaldið af jarðhita.
Út frá gögnum um rúmmál hlaupvatns er
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2009/VI_2009_006_tt.pdf
6University of Washington,
Seattle, WA 98195, USA. 7NOAA Geophysical Fluid
Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ 08540, USA.
*Author for correspondence. E-mail: cmilly@usgs.gov.
An uncertain future challenges water planners.
Published by AAAS
on July 12, 201
1
www.sciencemag.or
g
Downloaded from
1 FEBRUARY 2008 VOL 319 SCIENCE www.sciencemag.org574
POLICYFORUM
combined with opera-
tions
/media/loftslag/Milly_etal-2008-Stationarity-dead-Science.pdf
decision support:
I. Inclusion of norms? : descriptive vs normative
II. Vantage point: forecasting vs backcasting
III. Subject: issue-based, area-based, institution-based
IV. Time scale: long term vs short term
V. Spatial scale: global/supranational vs national/local
B Process design – intuitive vs formal:
VI. Data: qualitative vs quantitative
VII. Method of data collection: participatory vs desk
/media/loftslag/Kok_2-scenarios-lecture-2.pdf
eruption of Öræfajökull, could result in flooding exceeding 200,000 m3/s. Jökulhlaups arising from PDCs may reach 4,000-17,000 m3/s.
Chapter IV. Öræfajökull Volcano: Numerical simulations of eruption-induced jökulhlaups using the SAMOS flow model (pdf 5.89 Mb)
Pages 73–100
Ásdís Helgadóttir, Emmanuel Pagneux, Matthew J. Roberts, Esther H. Jensen og Eiríkur Gíslason
Short summary
Regions
/hydrology/hazard-risk-assessments/glacial-outburst-floods/markarfljotsaurar-oraefajokull/
........................................................................................................................26
Appendix I. Project brief ......................................................................................................27
Appendix II. List of recommended projects to further develop the network .......................28
Appendix III. List of all stations in the CGPS network .......................................................31
Appendix IV. Cost analysis
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2011/2011_005.pdf
Projections of selected temperature and precipitation extremes
inferred by CMIP3 models (CES D2.4 deliverable task iv)
Igor Shkolnik and Sergey Efimov
Voeikov Main Geophysical Observatory, 7, Karbyshev str., 194021, St.-Petersburg, Russia
Email: igor@main.mgo.rssi.ru, efimov@main.mgo.rssi.ru
Introduction
The territory of Northern Eurasia is characterized by complex and still
/media/ces/CES_D2.4_VMGO.pdf