drainage
works, and land-cover and land-use change.
Two other (sometimes indistinguishable)
challenges to stationarity have been exter-
nally forced, natural climate changes and
low-frequency, internal variability (e.g., the
Atlantic multidecadal oscillation) enhanced
by the slow dynamics of the oceans and ice
sheets (2, 3). Planners have tools to adjust
their analyses for known human distur-
bances
/media/loftslag/Milly_etal-2008-Stationarity-dead-Science.pdf
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Climate change adaptation in European river basins
Patrick Huntjens • Claudia Pahl-Wostl •
John Grin
Received: 1 July 2008 / Accepted: 24 December 2009 / Published online: 2 February 2010
The Author(s) 2010. This article is published with open access at Springerlink.com
Abstract This paper contains an assessment and stan-
dardized comparative analysis of the current water man
/media/loftslag/Huntjens_etal-2010-Climate-change-adaptation-Reg_Env_Change.pdf
Assessment Re-
port (AR4).
Topic 1 summarises observed changes in climate and their ef-
fects on natural and human systems, regardless of their causes, while
Topic 2 assesses the causes of the observed changes. Topic 3 pre-
sents projections of future climate change and related impacts un-
der different scenarios.
Topic 4 discusses adaptation and mitigation options over the
next few decades
/media/loftslag/IPPC-2007-ar4_syr.pdf
-time and
detects signal characteristics similar to previously observed eruptions using a three-fold
detection procedure based on: 1) an amplitude threshold; 2) the signal-to-noise ratio; and 3) an
emergent ramp-like shape. Data from six Icelandic eruptions was used to assess and tune the
module, which can provide 10–15 minutes of warning for Hekla up to over two hours of
warning for some other
/media/vedurstofan-utgafa-2021/VI_2021_008.pdf
m
J
M5 [C°] -3
obs. [C°] -4
nce 1
re 5. Comp
26); an int
temperatu
this system
y gridded v
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similar dif
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ces the effe
months No
ly only on
high the tem
n band wi
refore be s
onthly tem
an Feb Ma
.2 -3.1 -3.
.3 -4.1 -3.
.1 1.0 0.6
arison of m
erpolation
re is shown
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ference wa
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gradient fo
/media/ces/2010_017.pdf
to increase in Finland by 13–26% by the 2080s (Ruosteenoja
and Jylhä, 2007) and extreme precipitations are expected to in-
crease (Beniston et al., 2007). On the other hand, temperature in-
creases of 2–6 C by the end of the century are estimated to
decrease the snow accumulation by 40–70% by the same period
(Vehviläinen and Huttunen, 1997; Beldring et al., 2006; Ruosteeno-
ja and Jylhä, 2007
/media/ces/Journal_of_Hydrology_Veijalainen_etal.pdf
Forms of Participatory Modelling and its Potential for
Widespread Adoption in the Water Sector
Matt Q1Hare
Durango 330, Depto 2, Roma Norte, Cuauhtemoc, Mexico D.F. 06700, Mexico
ABSTRACT
This article serves as a support for those interested in learning more about participatory
modelling and its potential for widespread adoption by resource managers. The rst part
introduces the reader to four
/media/loftslag/Hare-2011-ParticipatoryModelling.pdf
than can be expected to originate from the cauldrons, three to four times the wa-
ter equivalent of the accumulation of snow over the watershed of the cauldrons. It has
been estimated that flow from the cauldrons, in addition to the jökulhlaups, could be
2–5 m3 s 1 at maximum (Vatnaskil, 2005). It is possible that part of the sulfate-rich
groundwater from the glacier comes from the cauldrons
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2009/VI_2009_006_tt.pdf