September 2014. The gray line represents relative displacement and the blue line the median value for 180 minutes. Earthquakes in the area are shown separately below (same x-axis, same timing). Enlarge.
The first two weeks as an example
Total subsidence from 12 Sept 2014 until 1 March 2015
The total subsidence of the glacier surface above the Bárðarbunga caldera since the equipment
/earthquakes-and-volcanism/gps-measurements/bardarbunga/caldera
less than
10/10
9+
10/10 10
Undetermined or unknown x
Concentration (C)
C – Total concentration of ice in the area, reported in tenths (see symbols in table 3.1).
Note: Ranges of concentration may be reported.
Ca Cb Cc – Partial concentrations of thickest (Ca), second thickest (Cb) and third thickest (Cc)
ice, in tenths.
Note: Less than 1/10 is not reported. 10/10 of one stage of development
/media/hafis/frodleikur/ice-chart_colour-code-standard.pdf
the quality of the data. Therefore, a mobile X-band weather radar was purchased, but while this custom made radar was being assembled and tested, another was obtained on loan from the Italian Civil Protection Agency. The mobile radar is now situated near the town of Kirkjubæjarklaustur, 80 km from the eruption site in Grímsvötn. IMO staff members monitor the progress of the eruption using
/about-imo/news/nr/2183/
of the lava stream. Radar images from ICG-flight today
show tunnels in Gígjökull increasing in size and continuing the build
up of the cone at the crater. The size of the eruptive crater is 280 x 190
m. Lava splashes are thrown at least a few hundred meters into the air.
Seismic tremor: Tremor levels decreased last night (3 May) and have decreased even
further this morning at around 11:00 GMT
/media/jar/Eyjaf_status_2010-05-04_IES_IMO.pdf
Projects
involving sh
Concise info
Executive
summaries
Downloadable
"Stakeholder
friendly" info
Stakeholder Relevance of the CES Project
Jenny Gode, 31 May 2010
Research programme
"Translators"
F
act
sheets
W
eb
page
Stee
ring
co
m
m
ittee
Visits
W
o
rkshops
R
efe
re
nce
g
ro
up
s
E
x
.
su
m
m
a
rie
s
M
eetings
Stakeholders
Energy companies
Energy authorities
Decision makers
Other stakeholders
/media/ces/Gode_Jenny_CES_2010.pdf
ilmiö
W inter Sprin g
SummerA utumn
Kosteus
Lauha t talve t
Talvitulvat
Jäätävä sade
Hyyde
Kova tuu li
…
Aikaisempi
kevät ja tu lvat
Ku ivuus
Ku ivuvat
vesiva rastot
…
Ku ivuus
Rankkasa teet
sa lamointi
Rakeet
…
Myrskyt
Rankkasateet
Rou ta
Jääkannen
muodostaminen
…
yli y €yli y €Merkittävät3
x - y €x – y €Keskinkertaiset2
alle x €alle x €Vähäiset1
Mahdollisuuden
tunnisteväriRiskin
/media/ces/Keranen_Jaana_CES_2010.pdf
.. But with caution
Spatial scale
Modifiable Areal Unit Problem (MAUP)
Ecological fallacy: The mistake of assuming that
where relationships are found among aggregate data,
these relationships will also be found among individuals
or households, or vice versa.
Key concepts (from ecology)
Forest cover Population
density
y = -20.1Ln(x) + 60
R2 = 0.84
0
20
40
60
80
100
0 5 10 15
Population density
F
o
re
/media/loftslag/Kok_1-scenarios-lecture-1.pdf
as the forecast period.
On the other hand, the probability distributions derived using the resampling ensemble
method are in most cases wider than those produced with the normal distribution method,
particularly so for precipitation change. This difference stems from the different treatment of
natural variability:
x In the normal distribution method, all simulations available for the same emission
/media/ces/raisanen_ruosteenoja_CES_D2.2.pdf
(ECT)
Working paths and
machinery transportation
+ C
Rotation period
Plant production and
transportation
Site preparation
a
r
b
o
n
Planting
E
n
e
r
d
i
o
Thinnings/ harvesting
operations
h di
g
y
i
x
i
d
e Emission parametersEcosystem model
S ort stance
transportation
Long distance
n
p
u
t
E
m
i
s
Emission calculation tool
transportation
Chipping
s
i
o
n
CO2 balance
14
Energy wood
/media/ces/Alam_Ashraful_CES_2010.pdf
stage
)Suppor
t
an
d
ski
lls
n
ee
de
d
Har
e
et
a
l.
(2003
)
XX
An
aly
se
lin
ks
be
tw
ee
n
participator
y
structur
e
an
d
proces
s
implementatio
n
Ba
rr
et
ea
u
et
a
l.
(2010
)
XXX
Pr
o
vid
e
cle
ar
de
sc
rip
tio
n
o
fproces
s
(m
an
ag
e
ex
pe
ct
at
io
n
s);
monitorin
g
an
d
evaluatio
n
Bot
s
an
d
va
n
Daale
n
(2008
)
XXXXX
Su
pp
o
rt
pr
o
ce
ss
de
sig
n
Ad
ap
te
d
fra
m
ew
o
rk
u
se
d
in
th
/media/loftslag/Hare-2011-ParticipatoryModelling.pdf