thus enabling the delineation of active faults in near-real time. Foreshocks preceding a large
earthquake by more than 20 minutes will already have been located with high precision before
the main shock occurs, and may already have delineated the fault plane of the coming main
shock, thus allowing its faulting mechanism to be immediately inferred. Due to its size, the
main shock
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2010/2010_012rs.pdf
in
development/policy
• Plausible futures
• No ‘desired’ future (no ‘doom or gloom’)
EURURALIS: Model chain
EU 25 arable and pasture land
160000
170000
180000
190000
200000
2000 2010 2020 2030
year
#
kh
a
A1
A2
B1
B2
EURURALIS: GTAP/IMAGE model
EURURALIS: CLUE model
Example 1c:
MedAction
Focus on participation and storylines
Example 3: MedAction
Land use change scenarios at various scales
To better
/media/loftslag/Kok_2-scenarios-lecture-2.pdf
stiff machines) but also brittle stable slip. Cook studied the slip behaviour at different
pressures and temperatures. He found that at shallow depths one expect in general brittle and stable slip
(not unstable slip, earthquakes). This prevailed for the top 5 km of granitic crust. Between 5 and 20 km
depth one got brittle unstable slip and when temperature and depth increased one got eventually
/media/norsem/norsem_slunga.pdf
peer review
separate from stakeholders
Technical input from own
experts and stakeholders
Review of principal options
Possible support measures
Acceptability & Trade‐offs
Deliberation with and
possible mandate from
stakeholders
Process & Actions by Core Team Actor / Source
Policy cycle(s)
Incl. learning
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/media/vedurstofan/NONAM_1st_workshop_summary_v3.pdf