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Ensemble approach for probabilistic
hydrological projections
Catchment
/media/ces/Lawrence_Deborah_CES_2010.pdf
). This can be helpful with respect to
finding a common structure in presenting as well in session reporting (for which angles
mentioned in the opening session statements of the Workshop participants can provide
checkpoints).”
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that occur in Botnabrún or at the rim of Þófinn are debris slides. The size of the slides
varies depending on the source area.
C Mudslides or mudflows occur where there is an abundance of soils. They normally occur
in areas where the vegetation cover has been breached. Common occurrences in Seyðis-
fjörður are in the mountain Bjólfur and in the valley west of the settlement.
D Rockfalls are a common
/media/vedurstofan-utgafa-2016/VI_2016_006_rs.pdf
and distribution network are all identified
a section at a time. In some cases, however, it might
be more valuable to focus only on a certain part of
functional model.
Fig.1. Functional Model.
The results of the risk analysis are represented
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table is to provide a readily interpretable overview of
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/media/ces/ces_risk_flyer.pdf
inty in decision making linking pluriform uncertainty combining certified and tacit knowledge
Tommy Chan Mich el Laiho Patrick Driscoll Kare Lundgren Hector Guin a Barrientos
Eivind Junker Jussi Ylhäisi Athanasios Votsis
Karoliina Pilli-Sihvola Yuang Zheng Väi ö Nurmi Jiao Xi nj Wejs
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Hydrological Sciences Journal, 53, 100-111.
Kriauciuniené, J., Meilutyté-Barauskiené, D., Rimkus, E., Kays, J., Vincevicius, A. (2008). Climate change impact on hydrological processes in Lithuanian Nemunas river basin. Baltica, Vol. 21 (1-2), pp. 1-61. Vilnius. ISSN 3067-3064.
Lawrence, D., Haddeland, I. (2010). Uncertainty in hydrological modelling of climate change impacts in four Norwegian
/ces/publications/nr/1938
versa
• Very large range within the simulations
• Larger number of observation stations in the study area leads to
• better compatibility between different observational data sets
• smaller bias in the model simulations
CES Conference, Oslo 31.5.-2.6.2010
References
• Haylock, M. R., Hofstra, N., Klein Tank, A. M. G., Klok, E. J., Jones, P.
D. and New, M. 2008. A European daily high-resolution
/media/ces/TietavainenHanna_CES_2010.pdf