corresponds to the IFM-based distribution
assuming that the target site is ungauged (bµ(D) = q0(AP)q1). Blue solid line corresponds
to the IFM-based distribution assuming that the target site is gauged (i.e. when µ(D) is
estimated by the arithmetic mean of the observed AMF sample). Coloured dashed lines
correspond to the IFM-based 95% CI (See Crochet, 2012a).
20
l llllllllllll
llllllll
lll l
l l l
l
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/VI_2015_009.pdf
that is simulated. In particular,
we will study renewable electricity production’s
variability and sensitivity for climate changes. We will
also study energy balances and the vulnerability of
the system, e.g. the probability for very high power
prices or curtailment that may occur in the case of
two subsequent very dry years.
Future development of the electricity system the next
20-30 years will also be outlined
/media/ces/esa_flyer_new.pdf
kg/s. Plume compo-
sition measurements were made by FTIR, MultiGAS and DOAS dur-
ing multiple campaigns early in the eruption.
IMO is collecting precipitation samples at ~20 meteorological
observation sites. IMO performs the estimation of pH and amount
of sulphates and other pollutants (HF, HCl) to identify potential are-
as a?ected by acid rain. These samples are then analysed in cooper
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/IMO_AnnualReport2014.pdf
and ice caps may be derived from data about the area distribution of ice bodies in the drainage
basin. Since the exponents g in the volume–area scalings v = csg for both ice caps and glaciers
TóJ 3 5.12.2009
Memo
Area (km2)
Volume
(km
3 )
50
100
50
100
150
200
250
50
100
150
200
250
a71
a71a71
a71
a71
10 50 500 500020 1000
1
5
10
0
100
0
2
2
0
20
0
200
0
100 10000
Icelandic ice
/media/ces/ces-glacier-scaling-memo2009-01.pdf
Time
Main assortments
l l d Energy biomassSaw ogs Pu pwoo
Small trees Residues Stumps
5
Use of biomass based energy in Finland
Pellets
1% (0.5 Mm3)
S d tForest residues
and small trees
used as chips
9% (3.4 Mm3)
aw us
9% (3.4
Mm3)
Black liquorTraditional
Energy biomass
46 TWh (55%) qu45% (18 Mm3)firewood
15% (6 Mm3)
Bark
21% (8.4 Mm3)
Energy biomass: 20% of the primary energy production
/media/ces/Alam_Ashraful_CES_2010.pdf
ANN−10
−5
0
5
10
15
20
delta w (%
)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17C
h
a
n
g
e
i
n
g
e
o
s
t
r
o
p
h
i
c
w
i
n
d
s
p
e
e
d
(
%
)
Change in wind over the Baltic Sea in 70 years time at the time of CO2-doubling
Chen and Aschberger, 2006
17
CM
IP
G
CM
s
A need for regional ensemble simulations
head2right Changes are uncertain
head2right Size and sometimes even sign
/media/ces/Kjellstrom_Erik_CES_2010.pdf
fatalities occurred in
mobile homes,
although only 7.6% of
U.S. housing units in
2000.
• A one standard
deviation in the
proportion of mobile
homes in housing stock
(8.3 percentage
points) increases
fatalities by 36% and
injuries by 18%.
The Mobile Home Problem
50
60
70
80
90
P
e
r
c
e
n
t
a
g
e
o
f
C
a
t
e
g
o
r
y
F
a
t
a
l
i
t
i
e
s
Mobile Homes
0
10
20
30
40
F0 F1 F2 F3 F4 F5
F
/media/loftslag/Tornado_Impacts_-_FMI_Presentation.pdf
+ x−k) (1)
Public Choice (2012) 151:91–119 95
with k = 1,2, and −k = 1 if k = 2, −k = 2 if k = 1. The variables xik and x−k are the
contributions to the public good of subject i as mover k and mover −k, respectively. The
contribution of the first mover is an integer x1 ∈ [0,10] and that of the second mover takes
one of the two values x2 ∈ {0, x1}.
2.2 Theoretical predictions
As noted
/media/loftslag/Public-Choice-2012---Teyssier---Inequity-and-risk-aversion-in-sequential-public-good-games.pdf
after 20–30 iterations,
although total stabilisation can take more than 100 iterations.
Fig. 2 shows two directed graphs of the Fuzzy Cognitive Map and
the development of the values of state vector A for the first 30
iterations. The right-hand side graph has one additional
relationship e23 = 0.5.
2.5. Interpretation of Fuzzy Cognitive Maps
All input and output of a Fuzzy Cognitive Map is semi
/media/loftslag/Kok_JGEC658_2009.pdf