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Each bar
shows
range over
whole UK
spatial
area
June 2010 13
Is the impact similar over the
whole UK?
• Changes in the summer minimum rating, i.e.
worst-case conditions – max temperature:
Rating at baseline period 1961
/media/ces/Cradden_Lucy_CES_2010.pdf
the observed data sets are smaller in SW than in NE
• MMM overestimates precipitation, but is closer to observations in SW than
NE barb2right Better observational coverage in SW
SW
NE
p
r
e
c
i
p
i
t
a
t
i
o
n
s
u
m
(
m
m
)
CES Conference, Oslo 31.5.-2.6.2010
SWNE
• Precipitation trends (mm / 10 yr) in 1961-2000 according to observations
and model simulations (MMM)
• Including the range
/media/ces/TietavainenHanna_CES_2010.pdf
glacier-scaling-hydrological model. 88-89.
Machguth, H., & Ahlstrøm, A. (2010). Surface Mass Balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet in the Paakitsoq Area, Illulisat, West Greenland - Scenarios and Related Uncertainties. p. 42-43.
Melvold, K. & Laumann, T. (2010). A coupled mass-balance and ice-flow model for Midtdalsbreen; projection of glacier length based on climate scenarios (CES). 90-91.
Radic, V
/ces/publications/nr/1940
)] [Report (low resolution 4 MB)]
Carlsson, B., Graham, L. P., Andréasson, J., & Rosberg, J. (2005). Exploring the range of uncertainty in climate change impacts on runoff and hydropower for the Luleälven River. Presented at the 15th International Northern Research Basins Symposium and Workshop, Luleå to Kvikkjokk, Sweden, Aug 29 - Sept 2. 9-20. [Paper]
Demers, D., & Roy, R. (2006). Impacts of climate
/climatology/research/ce/publications/
IMO in figures
? Over 600 stations in operation
? 5 offices, including the headquarters in Reykjavik
? 136 sta?and 91 additional surveillants
? Employment cost is 63% of total cost
? 65% of sta?are male
? 41% of administrators are female
? 43% of IMO income are grants
? 64% of non-governmental income is due to international projects
I C E L A N D I C M E T O F F I C E / A N N U A L R/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/IMO_AnnualReport2014.pdf
delay
s
o
r
problem
s
Leadershi
p
is
proactive
;anticipate
s
o
n
problem
s
2.
Leve
lo
fcohesio
n
Leadershi
p
is
abl
e
to
formulat
e
an
d
articulat
e
internall
y
consisten
tpolic
y
preference
s
Jupill
e
an
d
Caporas
o
(199
8)
3.
Leve
lo
fauthorit
y
Leadershi
p
ha
s
authorit
y
to
ac
t
externally
,i
n
particula
rth
e
lega
lcompetenc
e
in
give
n
subjec
tmatte
r
(B
)Awarenes
s
raisin
g
&
educatio
n
5
/media/loftslag/Huntjens_etal-2010-Climate-change-adaptation-Reg_Env_Change.pdf
tg
ui
da
n
ce
fo
rt
ra
ns
bo
un
da
ry
w
at
er
s,
pr
ep
ar
ed
an
d
P. van der Keur et al.
(floo
dmanag
ement
)an
d
wat
er
qualit
y
ag
re
ed
u
po
n
in
co
m
m
o
n
u
n
de
rs
ta
nd
in
g,
creat
ed
th
e
bas
is
fo
rth
e
formul
atio
n
o
f
joi
nt
m
ea
su
re
s
(Fr
ijte
rs
an
d
Le
en
tv
aa
r
200
3)
Mo
del
s
(na
tural
,te
chnica
l
an
d
so
ci
al
sy
ste
m
s):
Uncert
aint
y
ha
s
to
be
incorp
orated
:
1:
Ep
ist
/media/loftslag/VanderKeur_etal-2008-Uncertainty_IWRM-WARM.pdf
fatalities occurred in
mobile homes,
although only 7.6% of
U.S. housing units in
2000.
• A one standard
deviation in the
proportion of mobile
homes in housing stock
(8.3 percentage
points) increases
fatalities by 36% and
injuries by 18%.
The Mobile Home Problem
50
60
70
8090
P
e
r
c
e
n
t
a
g
e
o
f
C
a
t
e
g
o
r
y
F
a
t
a
l
i
t
i
e
s
Mobile Homes
0
10
20
30
40
F0 F1 F2 F3 F4 F5
F
/media/loftslag/Tornado_Impacts_-_FMI_Presentation.pdf
the contiguous USA. 30th Annual Applied Geography Conference, Indianapolis, October 2007. 10 pp.
Clausen, N.-E., Lundsager, P., Barthelmie, R., Holttinen, H., Laakso, T. & Pryor, S.C. (2007). Wind Power. In: J. Fenger (Ed.) Impacts of Climate Change on Renewable Energy Sources: Their role in the Nordic energy system, Nord 2007:003, 105-128.
Clausen N.E., Pryor S.C., Larsén X.G., Hyvönen R/ces/publications/nr/1944