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  • 51. Group-1_Scenarios-for-AWM

    witnessed severe flood in 2006, when sea level rose to 1.76 m above normal. The extreme rainfall events will bring pressures to the local drainage system as well. This project is aiming to build scenarios for adaptive flood management in the coming 20 years for Horsens Fjord, based IPCC emission scenario A2. The climate situation is shown in Table 1. Two adaptive water management (AWM /media/loftslag/Group-1_Scenarios-for-AWM.pdf
  • 52. VI_2015_009

    M A M J J A l ll l l l l l l l lll l l lll 0 100 200 300 60 0 80 0 100 0 Days since Sept. 1st Q (m ³/s ) vhm102 S O N D J F M A M J J A l l l ll l l l l l l l l l l l l l ll l l l l l l 0 100 200 300 30 40 50 60 70 Days since Sept. 1st Q (m ³/s ) vhm116 S O N D J F M A M J J A l l l l l l l l l l l l l l l l l l l l l l l l l l 0 100 200 300 20 0 30 0 40 0 50 0 Days since Sept. 1st Q (m ³/s /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/VI_2015_009.pdf
  • 53. programme2---PhD-Workshop-preceding-Adaptation-Research-Conference

    c e m a n a g e m e n t 6 5 8 P a t r i c k D r i s c o l l D e n m a r k C i v i l e n g i n e e r i n g 7 78 Anja Wejs Denmark Environmental management 8 93 Tommy Chan Finland Forest sciences 9 140 Karoliina Pilli-Sihvola Finland E viro me tal economics 10 147 Jussi Ylhäisi Finland Meteorology 11 (new) Karen Lundgren Sweden Engineering & Design 12 (new) Väinö Nurmi Finland Economics 13 /media/loftslag/programme2---PhD-Workshop-preceding-Adaptation-Research-Conference.pdf
  • 54. VI2010-006_web

    490 þar af regn 5 1 3 4 10 27 32 33 32 27 6 4 185 þar af slydda 22 14 13 12 8 1 1 1 6 21 20 16 135 þar af snjór 29 27 27 13 1 0 0 0 1 9 28 32 169 Mest á dag (mm) 31 37 41 28 31 42 20 25 25 39 28 21 42 Fjöldi regndaga 2 2 2 2 5 10 12 12 11 9 3 2 75 Fjöldi snjó/slyddud. 14 12 15 10 4 1 0 0 2 8 13 16 96 Fjöldi úrkomudaga 17 14 16 12 10 11 12 13 14 17 16 18 171 Meðalhiti (◦C) −2.2 −1.5 −1.3 1.6 5.5 9.1 /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2010/VI2010-006_web.pdf
  • 55. Publications

    - gróðurhúsaáhrif. Lifandi vísindi, pp. 52-54. Snorrason, Á. (2002). Veður, vatn og orka. Presented at the Ársfundur Orkustofnunar 2003, Reykjavík, Mar 20. 31-39. [Extended abstract] Snorrason, Á. (2002). Veðurfar, vatn og orka. Presentation, Aðalfundur Jöklarannsóknafélags Íslands. Norræna húsið, Reykjavík, Iceland. Feb 26. [Presentation] Snorrason, Á. (2004). The International Hydrological /climatology/research/ce/publications/
  • 56. Kok_1-scenarios-lecture-1

    .. But with caution Spatial scale Modifiable Areal Unit Problem (MAUP) Ecological fallacy: The mistake of assuming that where relationships are found among aggregate data, these relationships will also be found among individuals or households, or vice versa. Key concepts (from ecology) Forest cover Population density y = -20.1Ln(x) + 60 R2 = 0.84 0 20 40 60 80 100 0 5 10 15 Population density F o re /media/loftslag/Kok_1-scenarios-lecture-1.pdf
  • 57. Recent publications

    Oddur Sigurðsson, Óðinn Þórarinsson, Philippe Crochet, Tómas Jóhannesson & Þorsteinn Þorsteinsson (2012). Floods in Iceland. In: Z. W. Kundzewicz (ed), Changes in Flood Risk in Europe. Oxfordshire: IAHS Special Publication 10, 257-276. Hálfdán Ágústsson & Haraldur Ólafsson (2012). The bimodal downslope windstorms at Kvisker. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics 116(1-2), 27-42, doi:10.1007/s00703 /about-imo/arctic/completed-projects/publications/
  • 58. Dyrrdal_Anita_CES_2010

    • Analyse future snow scenarios Introduction Data & Methods Results 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 0-100 100- 200 200- 300 300- 400 400- 500 500- 600 600- 700 700- 800 800- 900 900- 1000 1000- 1100 1100- 1200 1200- 1300 1300- 1400 1400- 1500 1500- 1600 1600- 1700 1700- 1800 1800- 1900 1900- 2000 2000- 2100 2100- 2200 Høyde (m o.h.) A n t a l l v æ r s t a s j o n e r Elevation of met.no /media/ces/Dyrrdal_Anita_CES_2010.pdf
  • 59. Linnet_Ulfar_CES_2010

    2015, 2025, 2035 and 2050 North (Blanda) East (Karahnjukar) South (Thorisvatn) Change in average inflow to the main storage reservoirs Watershed A v e r a g e i n f l o w [ m 3 / s ] 0 2 0 4 0 6 0 8 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 Last 50 years Last 20 years Last 15 years Last 10 years Last 5 years Temperature corrected Transformation of climate measurements •Change in temperature • 0.75 °C/100y 1950-1975 • 1.55 /media/ces/Linnet_Ulfar_CES_2010.pdf
  • 60. Case_B___Road_transport_operation_and_infrastructure_planning

    vuosille 2010–2040; Trafi 3/2010 Shares of elderly drivers without accidents and/or fines (in the previous year) by age category, and comparison with very young drivers Source: Mikkonen, V. (2010), Seniorikuljettajien seurantaindeksi, Trafi 5/2010 Aggregate risk of motor vehicle collision (per million vehicle km) in Finland (“dry” road vs. icy/snowy road surface) (2003-2006). (a) Based /media/loftslag/Case_B___Road_transport_operation_and_infrastructure_planning.pdf

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