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• 11. Climate Report

  been observed in the arrival times of some migratory bird species, as an example the Black-tailed godwit, which winters in Europe, now arrives on average about 10 days earlier than it did in 1990. For other species such as the Whimbrel, which winters in Africa, arrival times have not changed as much. Warmer conditions in lakes have negatively impacted Arctic char, but Brown trout has been /climatology/iceland/climate-report/

• 12. VED_AnnualReport-2013_screen

  risk as- sessments and response plans in collaboration with other agencies. What have we achieved during the last five years? The largest achievement was to be nominated as a State Volcano Observatory by the Icelandic and International Civil Aviation Authorities, with the ob- jectives to monitor Icelandic volcanoes, Jan Mayen and volcanic activity in the oceanic area around Ice- land. Experts /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/arsskyrslur/VED_AnnualReport-2013_screen.pdf

• 13. Paper-Olafur-Rognvaldsson_91

  the opportunity to model river runoff and glacier mass balance both in the current climate and also in a hypothetical future climate based on the CE /VO climate change scenarios. The climate of Iceland is largely governed by the interaction of orography and extra-tropical cyclones, both of which can be described quite accurately by present day atmospheric models. As a result, dynamical downscaling /media/ces/Paper-Olafur-Rognvaldsson_91.pdf

• 14. Keranen_Jaana_CES_2010

  tance ◊ energy losses hot w e ather decre ase s the lifetim e of tra nsform ers increas ing w ater capa city V ery like ly, the pro bability tha t the next decad e is w arm er is 90%. Phe nom ena 1.1 - higher te m peratures, espe cially during winter Sc en ario 1. war mer clim ate Conseque nce categ ory acc ording to own ra nking Lik elihood according to own rank in g Th e op /media/ces/Keranen_Jaana_CES_2010.pdf

• 15. Group4

  Abackcastingscenario was developed which built upon a set of normative assumptions.These normative assumptionsare intended toestablish a pathway for Finnish society to achieve a low-impact mobility system. The scenarios are designed for use internally within the Finnish Transport Agency to assist in long-range planning and strategic investment, explicitly grounded in adaptive management principles of multiple /media/loftslag/Group4.pdf

• 16. IMO_AnnualReport2014

  used to produce probabilistic hazard maps for SO2 concentration at ground. The maps have been produced using a wind statistics based on 10 years. The final prod- ucts have been adopted by the Civil Protection for the definition of the restricted area around the eruption site. Baldur Bergsson, Árni Snorrason and Amy Donovan measuring gas at Holuhraun. Photo: Hermann Arngrímsson. Bárðarbunga /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/IMO_AnnualReport2014.pdf

• 17. IPPC-2007-ar4_syr

  Approximate CO2-eq concentrations corresponding to the computed radiative forcing due to anthropogenic GHGs and aerosols in 2100 (see p. 823 of the WGI TAR) for the SRES B1, AIT, B2, A1B, A2 and A1FI illustrative marker scenarios are about 600, 700, 800, 850, 1250 and 1550ppm, respectively. d) Temperature changes are expressed as the difference from the period 1980-1999. To express the change relative /media/loftslag/IPPC-2007-ar4_syr.pdf

• 18. Paper-Olafur-Rognvaldsson_92

  for Meteorological Research, Reykjavík, Iceland 5Bergen School of Meteorology, Geophysical Insitute, University of Bergen, Norway †Corresponding author: or@belgingur.is, Orkugarður, Grensásvegur 9, 108 Reykjavík ABSTRACT Atmospheric flow over Iceland has been simulated for the period Jan- uary 1961 to July 2006, using the mesoscale MM5 model driven by initial and boundary data from the ECMWF. Firstly /media/ces/Paper-Olafur-Rognvaldsson_92.pdf

• 19. Refsgaard_etal-2007-Uncertainty-EMS

  The advantage of Monte Carlo analysis is its general appli- cability and that it does not impose many assumptions on prob- ability distributions and correlations and that it can be linked to any model code. The key limitation is the large run times for computationally intensive models and the huge amount of outputs that are not always straightforward to analyse. 4.8. Multiple model simulation Multiple model /media/loftslag/Refsgaard_etal-2007-Uncertainty-EMS.pdf

• 20. Huntjens_etal-2010-Climate-change-adaptation-Reg_Env_Change

  can be found in Huntjens et al. (2007), Chapter 4 of NeWater Deliverable 1.7.9a (http://www.newater.info). Climate change adaptation in European river basins 265 123 interactions, by private and public actors, to achieve adaptation and to enhance the capacity of processes, institutional arrangements and actors to adapt to future environmental changes (Huitema et al. 2009). Adaptive governance /media/loftslag/Huntjens_etal-2010-Climate-change-adaptation-Reg_Env_Change.pdf