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  • 11. Group5-Participation_stages

     Scientific experts (geosciences, economics, sociology, psychology)  Farmers  Industry  Road and railway owners  Water supplier  Mitigation/adaptation consultants  The general public Consultation Expert elicitation (DELPHI method), in-depth interviews, Semi-structured Interviews, focus groups (group model building) Phone and mail surveys 2 4 Proposal /media/loftslag/Group5-Participation_stages.pdf
  • 12. Dataseries and components

    of IMO): Monthly samples of precipitation for the Icelandic Radiation Protection Institute for measurements of radioactivity Stórhöfði in the Westman Islands: Weekly samples of precipitation to measure heavy metals Semi-monthly samples of aerosols to measure heavy metals Stórhöfði in the Westman Islands: Semi-monthly samples of air and precipitation for analysis of persistent organic pollutants /pollution-and-radiation/pollution/components/
  • 13. Hare_1_Part2

    model Urban water management 3. Scientists‘ Role Playing Game 4. SH use - gaming and discussions 5. SH agreed workbook of recommendations Urban water management EU Water Framework Directive 1. SH individual cognitive maps (c.f. causal loop modelling - Vennix, 1996) 2. SH integrated causal model & use (Group Model Building (c.f. Vennix, 1996)) EU Water Framework Directive Causal /media/loftslag/Hare_1_Part2.pdf
  • 14. Kok_2-scenarios-lecture-2

    From scenarios to models Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping: the missing link? Narrative storylines Quantified drivers Model Runs Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping a semi-quantitative approach to participation Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping A Cognitive Map is the graphical representation of a system, where components are represented as boxes and relationships as arrows. Cognitive: The Map /media/loftslag/Kok_2-scenarios-lecture-2.pdf
  • 15. Kok_JGEC658_2009

    are prohibited. In most cases authors are permitted to post their version of the article (e.g. in Word or Tex form) to their personal website or institutional repository. Authors requiring further information regarding Elsevier’s archiving and manuscript policies are encouraged to visit: http://www.elsevier.com/copyright Author's personal copy The potential of Fuzzy Cognitive Maps for semi-quantitative /media/loftslag/Kok_JGEC658_2009.pdf
  • 16. NONAM_Perrels_ea_-_From_top-down_to_integrated_economic_assessment

    indicated that for unfortunate combinations of adverse circumstances negative regional economic impacts can be significant and semi-permanent. Yet, adequate provisions, good insurance coverage, and a resilient economy can attenuate the effects substantially. A follow-up study of the TOLERATE study is the IRTORISKI project6. It aims to scan impact pathways and vulnerabilities for selected extreme /media/loftslag/NONAM_Perrels_ea_-_From_top-down_to_integrated_economic_assessment.pdf
  • 17. Risk Assessments

    riskianalyysit - ilmaston muutoksen synnyttämät riskit ja mahdollisuudet. 12.03.2009, Research Report VTT-R-01942-09, Tampere. 13 p. + app. 24 p. Linnerud, Kristin (2009) Test and evaluation of a climate risk assessment procedure. Case study: The Norwegian hydro power company SFE. CICERO, University of Oslo. Report 2009:3. Feb.2009. 44 p. ISSN:0804-4562. Linnerud, Kristin (2009) Climate change /ces/publications/nr/1941
  • 18. CASE_B__Heikki_Tuomenvirta_(FMI)_Introduction

    of climate change on the routine and periodic maintenance of roads. Helsinki 2009. Finnish Road Administration, Central Administration. Finnra reports 8/2009, 66 p. + app. 8 p. ISSN 1459-1553, ISBN 978-952-221-172-9, TIEH 3201122-v. (in Finnish, abstract in English) [5] Salanne, i., Byring, B., Valli, R., Tikkanen, R., Peltonen, P., Haapala, J., Jylhä, K., Tolonen-Kivimäki, O., and Tuomenvirta, H /media/loftslag/CASE_B__Heikki_Tuomenvirta_(FMI)_Introduction.pdf
  • 19. Kok_1-scenarios-lecture-1

    of methods Scenarios – examples: qualitative Scenarios – examples: qualitative Stakeholder product Model Output Scenarios – examples: qualitative Scenarios – examples: from qualitative to quantitative Scenarios – examples: semi-quantitative (FCMs) Scenarios – examples: semi-quantitative (FCMs) Scenarios – examples: quantitative spatial models Scenarios – towards a toolbox • Many of today’s problems /media/loftslag/Kok_1-scenarios-lecture-1.pdf
  • 20. 2011_005

    and a short description for each network. Table 1. The CGPS sub-networks. Network name Short background CHIL University of Iceland, University of Arizona, and IMO Hekla Penn State University and IMO ISGPS IMO and foreign associates NICE ETH, Zürich and IMO Savoie University of Savoie and IMO Semi-CGPS University of Iceland, University of Savoie, and IMO 1.6 Other networks Table 2 /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2011/2011_005.pdf

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