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  • 11. Lettenmaier_Dennis_CES_2010pdf

    model regional projections. • Development of multiple 50-km regional climate scenarios for use in impacts assessments. • Evaluation of regional model performance over North America. www.narccap.ucar.edu 50-km Grid GFDL CGCM3 HADCM3 CCSM MM5 X X1 RegCM X1** X CRCM X1** X HADRM X X1 RSM X1 X WRF X X1 Red = run completed Drawbacks of dynamical downscaling • Requires postprocessing for bias /media/ces/Lettenmaier_Dennis_CES_2010pdf.pdf
  • 12. RaisanenJouni_CES_2010

    not representative of present or future climate conditions? Winter mean T in Helsinki (1961-2008) 1961- 20081961- 1990 Temperature (°C) P r o b a b i l i t y d e n s i t y -12 4 Simplest case: change in mean climate, with no change in the magnitude of variability If variability changes as well, the two tails of the distribution (e.g., warm and cold) will be affected differently. IPCC (2001 /media/ces/RaisanenJouni_CES_2010.pdf
  • 13. Group-1_Scenarios-for-AWM

    i on c a p ac i t y A r ea of r e s i d en c e (Flood p r one /non p r one a r eas) Un c e r t a n t i e s H i g h wi l l i n g n e s s t o p a y L o w wi l l i n g nes to pay D i k e s H i gh t a x a t i on - E arly w arn i n g s y s t e m s - Sof t s t r uct u r a l m e as u r e s -Community training L o w taxation Risk P e r c e p t i o n B e n e f i /media/loftslag/Group-1_Scenarios-for-AWM.pdf
  • 14. ECONOMIC_EFFECTS_OF_CLIMATE_CHANGE_ON_THE_TOURISM_SECTOR_IN_SPAIN

    /lexuriserv/lexuriserv.do?uri=com:2007:0002:FIN:EN:PDF, 13 April 2009. [2] WTO, World Tourism Organization (2008): “Climate Change and Tourism - Responding to Global Challenges”, UNWTO, 9 July 2008, Madrid, Spain. Available at: http://www.unwto.org/media/news/en/press_det.php?id=1411&idioma=E, 7 March 2010. [3] Mooney, J.E. y Miller, M.L. (2009): “Climate change: Creating demand for sustainable /media/loftslag/ECONOMIC_EFFECTS_OF_CLIMATE_CHANGE_ON_THE_TOURISM_SECTOR_IN_SPAIN.pdf
  • 15. Tornado_Impacts_-_FMI_Presentation

    -scale Category P e r c e n t a g e o f C a t e g o r y F a t a l i t i e s Permanent Homes Casualties and Timing Casualties and Time of Day 150 200 250 I n d e x V a l u e Fatalities 0 50 100 Overnight Morning Early Afternoon Late Afternoon Late Evening I n d e x V a l u e Injuries Nocturnal Tornadoes 7 8 9 10 R a t i o N i g h t t o O t h e r T i m e s 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 F0 F1 F2 F3 F4 F /media/loftslag/Tornado_Impacts_-_FMI_Presentation.pdf
  • 16. Alam_Ashraful_CES_2010

    (ECT) Working paths and machinery transportation + C Rotation period Plant production and transportation Site preparation a r b o n Planting E n e r d i o Thinnings/ harvesting operations h di g y i x i d e Emission parametersEcosystem model S ort stance transportation Long distance n p u t E m i s Emission calculation tool transportation Chipping s i o n CO2 balance 14 Energy wood /media/ces/Alam_Ashraful_CES_2010.pdf
  • 17. Refsgaard_2-uncertainty

    - nitrate reduction in underground medium medium large large large Model technical uncertainty - numerical approximation small small medium small - bugs in software medium medium small SUM: Importance Type of uncertainty Error propagation Box 1 Error propagation rules using standard deviation (σ ) Addition and Subtraction: z = x + y + .. or z = x - y - .. ..)()( 22 ++= yxz σσσ /media/loftslag/Refsgaard_2-uncertainty.pdf
  • 18. 2013_001_Nawri_et_al

    the validity of the ideal gas law, hydrostatic balance, a piecewise linear vertical gradient of air temperature, and neglecting the effects of water vapour. Pressure, p, as a function of height can then be derived through vertical integration of the hydrostatic balance equation, and is given by p(h(x;y);z) = p0 exp g R Z h(x;y)+z 0 dx T (x ) ; (5) where p0 is pressure at mean sea level, T /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2013/2013_001_Nawri_et_al.pdf
  • 19. Gradual fading of seismic activity at Bárðarbunga and the dyke intrusion

    with the general observation of a slowly fading activity in almost all other data sets. Inter-event waiting time For the Bárðarbunga caldera, inter-event waiting time for earthquakes equal to or larger than M5 has been plotted* during the four months period from the onset of events until 15 Dec 2014. On the y-axis, waiting time is given in hours. The x-axis shows the relevant earthquakes /earthquakes-and-volcanism/articles/nr/3039
  • 20. Vertical displacement in the Bárðarbunga caldera

    and the Icelandic Coast Guard, see disclaimer. The vertical displacement (m) was monitored by near real time presentation of data from a GPS station, mounted in the middle of the caldera. The elevation above sea level, top left, refers to the zero value on the y-axis, while such value top right shows the current position of the station (m a.s.l.). The upper graph shows the first two weeks, 12 - 25 /earthquakes-and-volcanism/gps-measurements/bardarbunga/caldera/

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