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• 21. Lettenmaier_Dennis_CES_2010pdf

  Withdrawal Reliability Grand Coulee Recreation Reliability R e l i a b i l i t y ( % , m o n t h l y b a s e d ) Control Period 1 Period 2 Period 3 RCM 2040-2069 60 80 100 120 140 Firm Hydropower Annual Flow Deficit at McNary P e r c e n t o f C o n t r o l R u n C l i m a t e PCM Control Climate and Current Operations PCM Projected Climate and Current Operations PCM Projected /media/ces/Lettenmaier_Dennis_CES_2010pdf.pdf

• 22. 2013_001_Nawri_et_al

  the validity of the ideal gas law, hydrostatic balance, a piecewise linear vertical gradient of air temperature, and neglecting the effects of water vapour. Pressure, p, as a function of height can then be derived through vertical integration of the hydrostatic balance equation, and is given by p(h(x;y);z) = p0 exp g R Z h(x;y)+z 0 dx T (x ) ; (5) where p0 is pressure at mean sea level, T /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2013/2013_001_Nawri_et_al.pdf

• 23. Gradual fading of seismic activity at Bárðarbunga and the dyke intrusion

  of events of magnitudes M1-2 (blue), M2-3 (green) and M>3 (red). Both lower panels show the activity on the caldera rim, moment on the left and event numbers on the right, here the colours for the event numbers are M3-4 (blue), M4-5 (green) and M>5 (red). Please notice that the last data point in all plots represents the ongoing week and might thus still change. Further, the y-scale is logarithmic /earthquakes-and-volcanism/articles/nr/3039

• 24. RaisanenJouni_CES_2010

  not representative of present or future climate conditions? Winter mean T in Helsinki (1961-2008) 1961- 20081961- 1990 Temperature (°C) P r o b a b i l i t y d e n s i t y -12 4 Simplest case: change in mean climate, with no change in the magnitude of variability If variability changes as well, the two tails of the distribution (e.g., warm and cold) will be affected differently. IPCC (2001 /media/ces/RaisanenJouni_CES_2010.pdf

• 25. Case_B___Road_transport_operation_and_infrastructure_planning

  variability Models Emission scenarios 2000 2100 LEVEL OF UNCERTAINTY Near future End of the century Natural climate variability + + Climate model sensitivity (+) ++ Emission scenarios ++ Source: J. Räisänen (Univ. of Helsinki) Probabilistic forecasts of temperature change in southern Finland (1971-2000 barb2right 2011-2020) Temperature change (ºC) P r o b a b i l i t y d e n s i t y ( 1 / º C /media/loftslag/Case_B___Road_transport_operation_and_infrastructure_planning.pdf

• 26. Articles

  and might thus still change. Further, the y-scale is logarithmic, which means that one step on the scale accords to a factor of 10. Of interest - Bárðarbunga Reduction of the accesscontrolled area around Holuhraun lava field END OF ERUPTION declaredby the Scientific Board Location map /earthquakes-and-volcanism/articles/bigimg/3039

• 27. Alam_Ashraful_CES_2010

  scenario Summer Winter Temp ▲6˚c ▲7˚c. Precip. +10% +30% CO N l d bl2 ear y ou e 11 Forest management principles 1 ) Basal area just before thinning Thinning threshold Energy wood Energy biomass a r e a ( m 2 h a - 1 thinningt i g B a s a l a Basal area just Remaining basal area threshold Dominant height (m) after thinning 12 Management regimes Changes in basal area thinning thresholds /media/ces/Alam_Ashraful_CES_2010.pdf

• 28. programme2---PhD-Workshop-preceding-Adaptation-Research-Conference

  inty in decision making linking pluriform uncertainty combining certified and tacit knowledge Tommy Chan Mich el Laiho Patrick Driscoll Kare Lundgren Hector Guin a Barrientos Eivind Junker Jussi Ylhäisi Athanasios Votsis Karoliina Pilli-Sihvola Yuang Zheng Väi ö Nurmi Jiao Xi nj Wejs a p p l i c a n t n o . a b s t r a c t n o . n a m e c o u n t r y d i s c i p l i n e ( M S c . ) 1 3 /media/loftslag/programme2---PhD-Workshop-preceding-Adaptation-Research-Conference.pdf

• 29. Refsgaard_etal-2007-Uncertainty-EMS

  on the quantity at hand (strengths and weaknesses in Box 1. The error propagation equation The error propagation equations for the most common operators are (s is the standard deviation): Addition and Subtraction: z ¼ x þ yþ/ or z ¼ x  y/ sz ¼ ffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi s2x  þ  s2y  þ/ r Multiplication by an exact number: z /media/loftslag/Refsgaard_etal-2007-Uncertainty-EMS.pdf

• 30. Perrels-CBA

  of market organisation alternatives 26.8.2011Adriaan Perrels/IL 10 Cost-benefit analysis – the basics 3 Simple example: despite positive IRR still cash flow challenge years 1 - 8 CBA example - initial investment 100; interest and discount 5%; operational cost +5%/y; benefits +10%/y; IRR = 7.4% -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 years m o n e y u n it s writing off finance /media/loftslag/Perrels-CBA.pdf