– observed and simulated changes in global mean
temperature
• Pattern scaling approach
– changes in mean climate and variability assumed to be
proportional to the change in global mean temperature
Regression coefficients of winter mean
temperature: how much is climate on the average
simulated to change per 1°C of global warming?
XX
Helsinki (60ºN, 25ºE): On average, the mean winter temperature
/media/ces/RaisanenJouni_CES_2010.pdf
and objective
CES Conference, Oslo 31.5.-2.6.2010
Study area
• Two study areas sized 100 x 100 km located in
north-eastern (NE) and south-western (SW) part
of Finland
• Climatologically different zones:
• NE:
• between middle- and north-boreal zones
• continental climate
• SW:
• between hemi- and south-boreal zones
• maritime influence
• Past and future monthly precipitation sums in
May-September
/media/ces/TietavainenHanna_CES_2010.pdf
in estimating the height of the plume. At this time, the plume reached heights of 8 - 12 km.
During the 2010 Eyjafjallajökull eruption, the weather radar proved to be a very useful tool, but the great distance to the eruption site (160 km) reduced the quality of the data. Therefore, a mobile X-band weather radar was purchased, but while this custom made radar was being assembled and tested, another
/about-imo/news/nr/2183
climate changes between the CMIP3 and ENSEMBLES
simulations 15
4. Impact of RCM data on forecasts of climate change 18
5. Probabilistic projections of temperature and precipitation change 24
5.1 Best estimates and uncertainty ranges of temperature and precipitation change 24
5.2 How probably will temperature increase (precipitation change) by at least X°C (Y%)?
28
6. Conclusions 34
References
/media/ces/D2.3_CES_Prob_fcsts_GCMs_and_RCMs.pdf
at IMO, participated off-venue in a workshop on "Energy in the Arctic".Aldís Elfarsdóttir, currently
working as an intern at IMO, worked with the Arctic Circle management team
during the assembly, writing statements for the Arctic Circle´s social media
accounts on Twitter and Facebook.More pictures from the
conference and IMO sessions are online, by OZZO Photography
/about-imo/news/imo-at-the-arctic-circle-assembly-2017
Office: The Aviation Colour Code for Bardarbunga remains at ‘orange’.
Next meeting of The Scientific Advisory Board will be held on Tuesday, 30. September.
The National Commissioner of the Icelandic Police, Department of Civil Protection and Emergency Management
www.almannavarnir.is www.avd.is Twitter: @almannavarnir
/media/jar/Factsheet_Bardarbunga_20140929.pdf
October.
The National Commissioner of the Icelandic Police, Department of Civil Protection and Emergency Management
Almannavarnir Civil Protection and Emergency Management, Twitter: @almannavarnir
/media/jar/Factsheet_Bardarbunga_20141008.pdf
Police, Department of Civil Protection and Emergency Management
Almannavarnir Civil Protection and Emergency Management, Twitter: @almannavarnir
/media/jar/Factsheet_Bardarbunga_20141022.pdf