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  • 51. 2010_017

    ............................................................................................................ 7 3 METHODS ..................................................................................................................... 11 3.1 General methodology ............................................................................................ 11 3.2 Improvements in model application ...................................................................... 12 3.2.1 Activation /media/ces/2010_017.pdf
  • 52. Program

    (see below) and the list of participants in addition to the abstracts of presentations and posters. Sessions Thursday, 20 June 09:00–09:10 ‒ Welcome 09:10–10:30 ‒ Lidar measurements for glacier inventories and mass balance monitoring 11:00–12:30 ‒ Process studies – I 13:30–15:00 ‒ Process studies – II 15:30–17:30 ‒ Lidar measurements from space, incl. video discussion with input from NASA /lidar/lidar-2013/program/
  • 53. VI_2015_009

    ..................................................................................... 7 2.3 Meteorological data ................................................................................ 8 2.4 Other data ............................................................................................ 8 3 Index flood method ...................................................................................... 11 3.1 General /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/VI_2015_009.pdf
  • 54. VI_2013_006

    lightning by the ATDnet system during (a) Grímsvötn 2004, (b) Eyjafjallajökull 2010 and (c) Grímsvötn 2011. A blue circle is at the vent location. 11 Figure 5. A map view, North (km) vs. East (km), of Grímsvötn 2011 lightning for the first 30 min (123 lightning), 1 hour (888), 3 hours (3340) and 24 hours (16041). The actual eruption site is marked with a black circle /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2013/VI_2013_006.pdf
  • 55. Lettenmaier_Dennis_CES_2010pdf

    in the 21st Century Evaporation change per Degree T change in the 21st Century Runoff change per Degree T change in the 21st Century 2) Downscaling a) Statistical b) Dynamical Climate Scenarios Global climate simulations, next ~100 yrs Downscaling Delta Precip, Temp Hydrologic Model (VIC) Natural Streamflow Water Management Model DamReleases, Regulated Streamflow Performance Measures Reliability /media/ces/Lettenmaier_Dennis_CES_2010pdf.pdf
  • 56. D2.3_CES_Prob_fcsts_GCMs_and_RCMs

    response to anthropogenic radiative forcing substantially. HadRM3Q0, HadRM3Q3 and HadRM3Q16 are the corresponding versions of the regional HadRM3 model. 7 with different driving GCMs, and some of the nominally different RCMs are close relatives to each other. As also shown by the table, the length of the RCM simulations varies. For 11 of the 13 RCM simulations, data are available from 1951 /media/ces/D2.3_CES_Prob_fcsts_GCMs_and_RCMs.pdf
  • 57. Gudmundsson-etal-2011-PR-7282-26519-1-PB

    subglacial eruption in the Eyjafjallajo¨kull volcano. Iceland is located in the North Atlantic Ocean (Fig. 1), at the confluence of air/water masses from the mid- latitudes and from the Arctic. About 11% of Iceland is covered by glaciers, all of which are temperate, have a high annual mass turnover and are highly sensitive to climate fluctuations (e.g., Bjo¨rnsson 1979; Bjo¨rnsson & Pa´lsson 2008 /media/ces/Gudmundsson-etal-2011-PR-7282-26519-1-PB.pdf
  • 58. Kok_2-scenarios-lecture-2

    -11:30 Practical examples + conclusions • Exploratory scenario development – SAS approach • Group model building - Fuzzy Cognitive Maps • Normative scenario development - Backcasting Conclusions LECTURE 2 Scenario development In practice Content Lecture 2: scenario development in practice •Story-And-Simulation approach •Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping •Backcasting A Project goal - exploration vs /media/loftslag/Kok_2-scenarios-lecture-2.pdf
  • 59. CES_D2.4_VMGO

    size. References 1. Meehl, G.A., C. Covey, T. Delworth, M. Latif, B. McAvaney, J.F.B. Mitchell, R.J. Stouffer and K.E. Taylor, 2007: The WCRP CMIP3 Multimodel Dataset: A New Era in Climate Change Research, BAMS, 88, 1383-1394, DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-88-9-1383. 2. Naki �enovi � N., J. Alcamo, G. Davis, B. de Vries, J Fenhann, S. Gaffin, K. Gregory, A.Grübler, T.Y. Jung, T. Kram, E.L. La Rovere /media/ces/CES_D2.4_VMGO.pdf
  • 60. Daniell_etal-2010

    components of a participatory exercise: the context, process, and outcomes, which we distinguish for the purpose of this study (as identified by Beierle and Cayford 2002, Newig 2005a,b, Mostert et al. 2007, and Newig and Fritsch 2009). The next section explores the theory behind the concepts of adaptive management, social learning, and stakeholder participation, which are central in Ecology /media/loftslag/Daniell_etal-2010.pdf

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