of Storbreen, Norway. Journal of Glaciology, 54 (185), 245-258. (Available online at IGS: http://www.igsoc.org/journal/54/185/j07j058.pdf.).
Crochet, P. (2007). A study of regional precipitation trends in Iceland using a high quality gauge network and ERA-40. J. Climate, 20(18), 4659-4677, doi: 10.1175/JCLI4255.1.
Crochet P., Jóhannesson T., Jónsson T., Sigurðsson O., Björnsson H., Pálsson F. & Barstad I
/ces/publications/nr/1940
the last 100 years. The findings of the meetings are as follows:
o Earthquakes in Bardarbunga: Seismic activity has been very strong since mid-august. The activity
peaked in first half of September, it has slowly decreased since then, but activity remains intense. The
period of seismic unrest is one of the largest ever recorded in a volcano globally.
o Earthquakes in the dyke from Bardarbunga
/media/jar/Factsheet_Bardarbunga_20141203.pdf
ANNUAL REPOR T 2014
2
I C E L A N D I C M E T O F F I C E / A N N U A L R E P O R T 2 0 1 4
?Veðurstofa Íslands 2015
Bústaðavegur 7–9, 108 Reykjavík, Iceland
The annual report was drafted by the IMO staff.
Editor: Sigurlaug Gunnlaugsdóttir
Design and layout: Hvíta húsið
Printing: Oddi
ISSN 2251-5607
Cover photo: Gro Birkefeldt Møller Pedersen
I N D E X
4 Bárðarbunga
7 Rockslide
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/IMO_AnnualReport2014.pdf
ofan byggðarinnar. (Náttúrufræðingurinn, 69, 1, 3−10, 1999, authors T. Jóhannesson, O. Pétursson, J. G. Egilsson and G. G. Tómassson) [abstract] (html)
A map on a selected front page shows recent observations of avalanches. For user access to avalanche and landslide data, an avalanche map viewer is available
/avalanches/imo/dams/
14 0 1 2 3 8 12
15 0 1 2 3 8 12
16 0 1 2 4 8 12
17 0 1 2 4 8 12
18 0 1 2 4 8 12
19 0 1 2 4 8 13
20 0 1 2 4 8 13
21 0 2 3 5 9 13
22 1 2 3 5 9 13
23 1 2 3 4 9 13
MEAN 1 2 2 4 8 13
10
AE
R
OD
R
OM
E
CLIM
A
T
OLOGICA
L
SUMMA
R
Y
-
T
ABL
E
D
AE
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OD
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:BIK
F
-
KEFL
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VÍ
K
/K
efl
avi
k
PERIO
D
O
F
RECORD
:2001–201
0
L
A
TITUDE
:6
3
59’06"
N
LONGITUDE
:2
2
36’20"
W
ELE
V
A
TIO
N
AB
O
V
E
MSL
:5
2
/media/vedur/aerodrome_summaries_20140603.pdf
(2010-2039)
Control (static 1995 climate) Period 2 (2040-2069)
Period 3 (2070-2098)
April 1 Snow Water Equivalent
Natural Flow at Lee Ferry, AZ
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000
A
n
n
u
a
l
F
l
o
w
(
B
C
M
)
Annual Flow 10 Year Average Running Average
Currently used
16.3 BCM
allocated
20.3 BCM
Natural Flow at Imperial Dam, AZ
0
5
10
15
20/media/ces/Lettenmaier_Dennis_CES_2010pdf.pdf
fatalities occurred in
mobile homes,
although only 7.6% of
U.S. housing units in
2000.
• A one standard
deviation in the
proportion of mobile
homes in housing stock
(8.3 percentage
points) increases
fatalities by 36% and
injuries by 18%.
The Mobile Home Problem
50
60
70
80
90
P
e
r
c
e
n
t
a
g
e
o
f
C
a
t
e
g
o
r
y
F
a
t
a
l
i
t
i
e
s
Mobile Homes
0
10
20
30
40
F0 F1 F2 F3 F4 F5
F
/media/loftslag/Tornado_Impacts_-_FMI_Presentation.pdf
in
warme
r
climat
e
Increas
e
in
irrigatio
n
re
qu
ire
m
en
ts
Me
d
Proje
ction
so
f
climat
e
change
,
CO
2
ef
fect
s
o
n
evapotr
anspiration
,
marke
tpric
e
fo
r
ag
ric
ul
tu
ra
lp
ro
du
cts
Epist
emic
+
Aleator
y
Adap
tcro
p
ch
oic
e
to
ex
istin
g
wate
r
ab
stractio
n
pe
rmission
s
(non-structur
al
)
Low-Me
d
A
(P)
R
(C
)
S
L
Sam
e
as
fo
rimpac
t
Increas
e
wate
r
ab
stractio
n
pe
rmit
s
(non
/media/loftslag/2012-Refsgaard_etal-uncertainty_climate-change-adaptation-MITI343.pdf
.. But with caution
Spatial scale
Modifiable Areal Unit Problem (MAUP)
Ecological fallacy: The mistake of assuming that
where relationships are found among aggregate data,
these relationships will also be found among individuals
or households, or vice versa.
Key concepts (from ecology)
Forest cover Population
density
y = -20.1Ln(x) + 60
R2 = 0.84
0
20
40
60
80
100
0 5 10 15
Population density
F
o
re
/media/loftslag/Kok_1-scenarios-lecture-1.pdf