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• 1. programme2---PhD-Workshop-preceding-Adaptation-Research-Conference

  with whom a slot is proposed to be swapped. In the closing session on Friday afternoon another two Workshop participants will be offered the opportunity of presenting a brief summary of key impressions and messages (2 x 5 minutes). This will require some degree of co-ordination among the rapporteurs. The Conference organizers need to know in time (Friday morning at the latest) who will present /media/loftslag/programme2---PhD-Workshop-preceding-Adaptation-Research-Conference.pdf

• 2. Refsgaard_1-Welcome

  – Print yourselves • Case descriptions and tasks/questions • Lecturers’ presentations – Handouts during the week – Pdfs will be uploaded at website afterwards Practicalities • PC login – Internet access • Printing • Lunch • Coffee – tea • Posters Monday afternoon + refreshments • Dinner Tuesday at 19:00 Students • Brief presentation round – now • 2-minutes presentation of research topics /media/loftslag/Refsgaard_1-Welcome.pdf

• 3. Kok_JGEC658_2009

  Change 19 (2009) 122–133 A R T I C L E I N F O Article history: Received 14 November 2007 Received in revised form 21 August 2008 Accepted 25 August 2008 Keywords: Fuzzy Cognitive Maps Scenario Participation Resilience Brazil A B S T R A C T The main drawback of the Story-and-Simulation approach is the weak link between qualitative and quantitative scenarios. A semi-quantitative tool, Fuzzy /media/loftslag/Kok_JGEC658_2009.pdf

• 4. Kok_2-scenarios-lecture-2

  From scenarios to models Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping: the missing link? Narrative storylines Quantified drivers Model Runs Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping a semi-quantitative approach to participation Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping A Cognitive Map is the graphical representation of a system, where components are represented as boxes and relationships as arrows. Cognitive: The Map /media/loftslag/Kok_2-scenarios-lecture-2.pdf

• 5. Group5-Participation_stages

   Scientific experts (geosciences, economics, sociology, psychology)  Farmers  Industry  Road and railway owners  Water supplier  Mitigation/adaptation consultants  The general public Consultation Expert elicitation (DELPHI method), in-depth interviews, Semi-structured Interviews, focus groups (group model building) Phone and mail surveys 2 4 Proposal /media/loftslag/Group5-Participation_stages.pdf

• 6. 2011_005

  and a short description for each network. Table 1. The CGPS sub-networks. Network name Short background CHIL University of Iceland, University of Arizona, and IMO Hekla Penn State University and IMO ISGPS IMO and foreign associates NICE ETH, Zürich and IMO Savoie University of Savoie and IMO Semi-CGPS University of Iceland, University of Savoie, and IMO 1.6 Other networks Table 2 /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2011/2011_005.pdf

• 7. Dataseries and components

  of IMO): Monthly samples of precipitation for the Icelandic Radiation Protection Institute for measurements of radioactivity Stórhöfði in the Westman Islands: Weekly samples of precipitation to measure heavy metals Semi-monthly samples of aerosols to measure heavy metals Stórhöfði in the Westman Islands: Semi-monthly samples of air and precipitation for analysis of persistent organic pollutants /pollution-and-radiation/pollution/components/

• 8. Markarfljót outwash plain and Öræfajökull

  was funded mainly by the National Avalanche and Landslide Fund, with additional financial contributions from the Icelandic Road and Coastal Administration and the National Power Company. Published material Under the link below, each of the chapters can be downloaded or short summaries read. Pagneux, E., Gudmundsson, M. T., Karlsdóttir, S., & Roberts, M. J. (Eds.) (2015). Volcanogenic floods /hydrology/hazard-risk-assessments/glacial-outburst-floods/markarfljotsaurar-oraefajokull/

• 9. NONAM_Perrels_ea_-_From_top-down_to_integrated_economic_assessment

  indicated that for unfortunate combinations of adverse circumstances negative regional economic impacts can be significant and semi-permanent. Yet, adequate provisions, good insurance coverage, and a resilient economy can attenuate the effects substantially. A follow-up study of the TOLERATE study is the IRTORISKI project6. It aims to scan impact pathways and vulnerabilities for selected extreme /media/loftslag/NONAM_Perrels_ea_-_From_top-down_to_integrated_economic_assessment.pdf

• 10. Kok_1-scenarios-lecture-1

  of methods Scenarios – examples: qualitative Scenarios – examples: qualitative Stakeholder product Model Output Scenarios – examples: qualitative Scenarios – examples: from qualitative to quantitative Scenarios – examples: semi-quantitative (FCMs) Scenarios – examples: semi-quantitative (FCMs) Scenarios – examples: quantitative spatial models Scenarios – towards a toolbox • Many of today’s problems /media/loftslag/Kok_1-scenarios-lecture-1.pdf