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  • 1. Jens_Christian_Refsgaard_(GEUS,_Dk)

    JP, Van Asselt MBA, Janssen P and Krayer von Krauss MP (2003) Defining Uncertainty A Conceptual Basis for Uncertainty Management in Model- Based Decision Support, Integrated Assessment, 4(1), 5-17. Refsgaard JC, van der Sluijs JP, Højberg AL, Vanrolleghem PA (2007) Uncertainty in the environmental modelling process – A framework and guidance. Environmental Modelling & Software, 22, 1543- 1556 /media/loftslag/Jens_Christian_Refsgaard_(GEUS,_Dk).pdf
  • 2. Gudmundsson-etal-2011-PR-7282-26519-1-PB

    RESEARCH/REVIEW ARTICLE Response of Eyjafjallajo¨kull, Torfajo¨kull and Tindfjallajo¨kull ice caps in Iceland to regional warming, deduced by remote sensing Sverrir Gudmundsson,1 Helgi Bjo¨rnsson,1 Eyjo´lfur Magnu´sson,1 Etienne Berthier,2 Finnur Pa´lsson,1 Magnu´s Tumi Gudmundsson,1 Tho´rdı´s Ho¨gnado´ttir1 & Jørgen Dall3 1 Institute of Earth Sciences, University of Iceland, Sturlugata 7, Askja /media/ces/Gudmundsson-etal-2011-PR-7282-26519-1-PB.pdf
  • 3. VanderKeur_etal-2008-Uncertainty_IWRM-WARM

    cia l sy ste m ): th re e m ai n gr ou ps o fthreat s ar e at th e scene : cl im at e, so ci o -e co n o m ic s an d gover nanc e 1: M ai nl y ep ist em ic pl us som e onto logi ca l 2:S cenari o Pa rti ci pa to ry pr oc es s (PP ) imp ortan tt o de al w ith un certaint y Pa rti cip at o ry pr o ce ss (PP )im po rta n tt o de al w ith u n ce rta in ty : Pa rti ci pa to ry go al se tti ng :c o n /media/loftslag/VanderKeur_etal-2008-Uncertainty_IWRM-WARM.pdf
  • 4. Hare-2011-ParticipatoryModelling

    is ar tic le X X X X X X X Identif ygenera lform so f pa rt ici pa to ry m o de llin g Tabl e1 . Co m pa ris o n o ff ra m ew o rk s fo r ca te go riz in g pa rt ic ip at o ry m o de llin g pr o ce ss es . Th is ta bl e co m pa re s di ffe re n tf ra m ew o rk s (bo ld , fir st co lu m n )a cc o rdin gt o th e categorica lcriteri a the yemplo y(column si n italics )an d thei rpurpos e (bold ,fina /media/loftslag/Hare-2011-ParticipatoryModelling.pdf
  • 5. Refsgaard_etal-2007-Uncertainty-EMS

    - - by - . d - al- ral l on on, the l to in r so ip- de- of ) pollution sources and climate data.  Model structure uncertainty is the conceptual uncertainty due to incomplete understanding and simplified descrip- tions of modelled processes as compared to reality.  Parameter uncertainty, i.e. the uncertainties related to pa- rameter values.  Model technical uncertainty is the uncertainty arising /media/loftslag/Refsgaard_etal-2007-Uncertainty-EMS.pdf
  • 6. PhD_course-Programme_26Aug2011-final

    PA (2007) Uncertainty in the environmental modelling process – A framework and guidance. Environmental Modelling & Software, 22, 1543-1556. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2007.02.004 Milly PCD, Betancourt J, Falkenmark M, Hirsch RM, Kundzewicz ZW, Lettenmaier DP, Stouffer RJ (2008) Stationarity Is Dead: Whither Water Management. Science, 319, 573-574. Case study material Henriksen HJ /media/vedurstofan/PhD_course-Programme_26Aug2011-final.pdf
  • 7. Refsgaard_2-uncertainty

    UM EE, EPR, NUSAP, SI, UM System data DA, EPE, EE, QA DA, EE, SC, QA DA, EE DA, EE Inputs Driving forces DA, EPE, EE, QA DA, EE, SC, QA DA, EE, EPR DA, EE, EPR Model structure EE, MMS, QA EE, MMS, SC, QA EE, NUSAP, QA EA, NUSAP, QA Technical QA Model Parameters IN-PA, QA IN-PA, QA QA QA Model outputs EPE, EE, IN- UN, MCA, MMS, SA EE, IN-UN, MMS, SA EE, NUSAP EE /media/loftslag/Refsgaard_2-uncertainty.pdf
  • 8. Adalgeirsdottir-etal-tc-5-961-2011

    –averaged modeled ice velocity corresponding to the simulated 2002 ice sur- face geometry, using A= 6.8× 10−15 s−1 kPa−3 implicitly includ- ing the basal sliding (in B), and using A= 4.6× 10−15 s−1 kPa−3 and C = 10× 10−15 m a−1 Pa−3 (in (C)). (D) The contribution of the modeled basal sliding to the velocity shown in (C). Table 2. Average annual (September 2002 to September 2003; accuracy ∼2 m a−1 /media/ces/Adalgeirsdottir-etal-tc-5-961-2011.pdf
  • 9. IPPC-2007-ar4_syr

  • 10. CES_D2.4_task1

    NO +61:53:25 +10:08:30 749 P 2602 BLANKTJERNMOEN I KVIKNE NO +62:25:58 +10:25:01 690 P 2603 DREVSJO NO +61:53:13 +12:02:53 672 P 2604 JONSBERG LANDBRUKSSKOLE NO +60:45:03 +11:12:23 218 P 2606 KVIKNE I OSTERDAL NO +62:35:48 +10:16:17 550 P 2607 NES PA HEDMARK NO +60:47:29 +10:57:32 205 P /media/ces/CES_D2.4_task1.pdf

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