hydrology with respect to hydropower
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Ahlstrøm et al., 2009
• recent evaluation of the future hydropower potential
(Ahlstrøm et al., 2009)
• bed and surface topography (radar and LiDAR)
• scenarios of ice flow, mass balance and basin delineation
previous work
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motivation
Ahlstrøm et al. (2009):
• only one RCM (HIRHAM4)
• limitations in mass balance modelling
CES project:
• 2 months
• conduct
/media/ces/Machguth_Horst_CES_2010.pdf
• The largest fractional increase in precipitation is expected to take place
in winter, whereas the increase is more modest in summertime
• Changes in summertime precipitation during the last 100 years were
analyzed based on high-resolution observed data set
• Comparison of three different data sets
• Future precipitation projections until 2100 were studied based on an
ensemble of 13 RCM’s
Motivation/media/ces/TietavainenHanna_CES_2010.pdf
is changed or not
• Boomerang effect (when the arguments are bad the effect may
be the opposite of the intended e.g., negative when the goal is a
positive attitude)
• Polarising (to think about an attitude object may lead to a
polarised evaluation e.g., a positive attitude may become even
more positive when thinking about it)
More or less elaborate elaboration
according to ELM?
1. Motivation: e.g
/media/loftslag/Eriksson_2-Acceptability-of-policy.pdf
• Without demand, reliance on market
solutions is therefore futile.
What Does the Research Tell Us?
• Effectiveness of government mitigation
programs (Oklahoma Saferoom Initiative)
• Effectiveness of new building codes
(Florida)
• Market response to private mitigation
alternatives
Hurricanes
Hurricanes
Hurricane Market Mitigation
Study
• Motivation:
– Incorporate “societal impact” studies
/media/loftslag/FMI_-_Disaster_Mitigation.pdf
Is simulated streamflow
unbiased against observed
streamflow?
Dynamical Downscaling (Regional
Climate Model)
Motivation: Statistical approaches are dynamically
inconsistent (postprocess climate model output,
then force a land (hydrology) model with
characteristics different from those in the GCM –
notably evapotranspiration
Regional Climate Modeling at CIG
WRF Model (NOAH LSM)
Resolution: 12
/media/ces/Lettenmaier_Dennis_CES_2010pdf.pdf
based upon a historical analysis of the coupled human-environment system development as
guidance for future investigation. The study will gain insights from the theories outlining the concepts of
vulnerability/adaptive capacity/resilience embedded in the framework of sustainable livelihood and theories
related to risk perception as well as motivation including Protection Motivation Theory (PMT
/media/loftslag/programme2---PhD-Workshop-preceding-Adaptation-Research-Conference.pdf
always been a part of the design of the
national network.
Modernization of all the observation systems goes back
to the digital revolution, and a significant step forward
was the installation of the first weather radar in 1990. A
significant by-product was the observing capabilities of
the radar to observe volcanic ash clouds, which later was
the primary motivation to extend the system
/media/vedurstofan-utgafa-2020/VI_arsskyrsla2020.pdf
European studies, which do highlight a multiplicity of ‘European views’.
This reinforces the notion that dealing with climate change in Europe (and most
likely in the USA as well) cannot solely be based on the ‘one size fits all’ principle,
as demonstrated by the targets set in the Kyoto Protocol. There are numerous US
examples where localised motivation has enabled community and state-level miti
/media/loftslag/Lorenzoni_Pidgeon_2006.pdf