a lottery.
– Prior to the lottery, they could purchase
“mitigation” which would protect them in the
lottery.
– Several rounds were performed at “hit”
probabilities ranging from 1% to 20%.
Hurricane Market Mitigation
Study - Experimental Study
Results
• Market price of mitigation exceeds expected
value.
• Willingness to purchase mitigation
increases as perceived risk increases.
• Willingness
/media/loftslag/FMI_-_Disaster_Mitigation.pdf
149
S O N D J F M A M J J A
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Day since 1st Sept.
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m³
/s
VHM 205
S O N D J F M A M J J A
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10
0
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0
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Day since 1st Sept.
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VHM 206
S O N D J F M A M J J A
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l
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0 100 200 300
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VHM 221
S O N D J F
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/VI_2015_007.pdf
by officers on site.
The restricted area extends 20 m outside the edges of the new lava field, to the edge of Dyngjujökull glacier on the south side, the river Jökulsá á Fjöllum to the east and to the westernmost branches of Jökulsá á Fjöllum in the west. Enlarge.
12 March 2015 - from the Scientific Advisory Board
Notes from the Meeting of the Scientific Advisory Board 10 March (pdf 0.3 Mb) are now
/earthquakes-and-volcanism/articles/nr/3122
by officers on site.
The restricted area extends 20 m outside the edges of the new lava field, to the edge of Dyngjujökull glacier on the south side, the river Jökulsá á Fjöllum to the east and to the westernmost branches of Jökulsá á Fjöllum in the west. Enlarge.
12 March 2015 - from the Scientific Advisory Board
Notes from the Meeting of the Scientific Advisory Board 10 March (pdf 0.3 Mb) are now
/earthquakes-and-volcanism/articles/nr/3122/
monitoring so that warnings may be issued if necessary.
Vatnajökull National Park will issue locations of viewing areas. Information on evacuation
routes will be issued by officers on site.
The
restricted area extends 20 m outside the edges of the new lava field, to the edge of
Dyngjujökull glacier on the south side, the river Jökulsá á Fjöllum to the east and to the
westernmost branches
/media/jar/Bardarbunga-2015_MarchAprMay-events.pdf
less
than 10 MJ m−2. This also holds for autumn, apart from southern Scandinavia where
insolation increases by 10-20 MJ m−2. The largest changes occur in spring and summer,
with the maximum decreases (increases) of the order of 40 MJ m−2 taking place in north-
ern Lapland in spring (southern central Sweden in summer). Note also the substantial
decrease in Greenland in summer, 40-60 MJ m−2
/media/ces/CES_D2.4_solar_CMIP3.pdf
after 20–30 iterations,
although total stabilisation can take more than 100 iterations.
Fig. 2 shows two directed graphs of the Fuzzy Cognitive Map and
the development of the values of state vector A for the first 30
iterations. The right-hand side graph has one additional
relationship e23 = 0.5.
2.5. Interpretation of Fuzzy Cognitive Maps
All input and output of a Fuzzy Cognitive Map is semi
/media/loftslag/Kok_JGEC658_2009.pdf
........................................................ 19
2.3.2 Changing the maximum number of events in a group ................................. 20
2.3.3 Rearrange order of input .............................................................................. 22
2.3.4 Relocate only the best events ....................................................................... 22
2.3.5 Other tests
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2010/2010_003rs.pdf
%)
Ice-free ocean & Overcast 186 (20%) 22 (12%) 32 (17%) 40 (22%) 92 (49%)
41
whether this also holds for monthly averages. Based on data from an ongoing IMO reanalysis
project, this will be the subject of future analyses.
References
Brousseau, P., Berre, L., Bouttier, F., & Desroziers, G. (2011). Background-error covariances for
a convective-scale data-assimilation system: AROME – France 3D-Var
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/VI_2015_006.pdf