2015, 2025, 2035 and 2050
North (Blanda) East (Karahnjukar) South (Thorisvatn)
Change in average inflow to the main storage reservoirs
Watershed
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•Change in temperature
• 0.75 °C/100y 1950-1975
• 1.55
/media/ces/Linnet_Ulfar_CES_2010.pdf
wanted to drop you guys a line and
say thank you. I was in Iceland for 16 days in September surfing, and
your web site was so crucial to the trip on knowing when to move and
where to go. Keep up the great work. Thanks again.Preparing a visit to Iceland
Elizabeth wrote in August 2015: "I just wanted to thank you so much for your wonderful website, which is truly one of the most comprehensive
/about-imo/the-web/awards_and_press/
the observed data sets are smaller in SW than in NE
• MMM overestimates precipitation, but is closer to observations in SW than
NE barb2right Better observational coverage in SW
SW
NE
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CES Conference, Oslo 31.5.-2.6.2010
SWNE
• Precipitation trends (mm / 10 yr) in 1961-2000 according to observations
and model simulations (MMM)
• Including the range
/media/ces/TietavainenHanna_CES_2010.pdf
FOREST BIOMASS FOR ENERGY PRODUCTION –
POTENTIALS, MANAGEMENT AND RISKS UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE
Ashraful Alam, Antti Kilpeläinen, Seppo Kellomäki
School of Forest Sciences,
University of Eastern Finland, Joensuu
F t Cli t d R bl E I t Ri k d Ad t tiu ure Cl ma e an enewa e nergy – mpac s, s s an ap a on
Oslo, Norway
2 June, 2010
Contents
• Forestry in Finland
• Challenges
• Objectives
/media/ces/Alam_Ashraful_CES_2010.pdf
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/media/loftslag/Outline_for_the_case_Road_maintenance_in_a_changing_climate.pdf
2050s 2080s
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Each bar
shows
range over
whole UK
spatial
area
June 2010 13
Is the impact similar over the
whole UK?
• Changes in the summer minimum rating, i.e.
worst-case conditions – max temperature:
Rating at baseline period 1961
/media/ces/Cradden_Lucy_CES_2010.pdf
Permanent snow
cover
Snow depth
Aug Jun
Maximum snow depth
Accumulative winter precipitation
Number of snow days
(snow depth > 0)
Snow season duration
Introduction Data & Methods Results
Norwegian Meteorological Institute met.no
Simulated
temperature &
precipitation
Observed
snow depth
Time series
• Period I: 1931-60
– 55 stations
• Period II: 1961-90
– 298 stations
• Period III: 1979
/media/ces/Dyrrdal_Anita_CES_2010.pdf
-
work. The second half of the article discusses the potential for participatory modelling to progress from being a
mainly research-driven activity in the water sector to one being adopted for widespread use by water managers.
By widespread adoption I mean that participatory modelling becomes mainstream in the sector and that managers
set up their own organizing teams, independent of researchers
/media/loftslag/Hare-2011-ParticipatoryModelling.pdf