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APPENDIX
(A) MAPS FOR THE PERIOD 2070-2099
Although this period is beyond the principal scope of the CES project, the information
is useful for several reasons: the responses are stronger and more significant statistically
than those for the early-mid century; the influence of greenhouse gas emissions becomes
clearly discernible, etc.
Fig. A1. Percentage change
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AVAILABLE FROM:
http://www.atm.helsinki.fi/~jaraisan/CES_D2.3/CES_D2.3.html
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Table of Contents
Abstract 1
1. Introduction 2
2. Model simulations 4
3. Methods used for deriving probabilistic climate change forecasts 7
3.1 Resampling and variance correction 9
3.2 Relationship between local and large-scale climate changes in ENSEMBLES
simulations 10
3.3 Comparison of large-scale
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/CES_D2.4_task1.html
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Table of Contents
Abstract 1
1. Introduction 2
2. Methods and data sets 5
3. Results for temperature 7
4. Results for precipitation 14
5. Tables for individual locations 19
6. Summary 24
Appendix: details of methodology 26
A.1 Data sets 26
A.2 Derivation of regression coefficients 27
A.3 Smoothing of the probability distributions 30
References 31
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