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  • 31. Lettenmaier_Dennis_CES_2010pdf

    model regional projections. • Development of multiple 50-km regional climate scenarios for use in impacts assessments. • Evaluation of regional model performance over North America. www.narccap.ucar.edu 50-km Grid GFDL CGCM3 HADCM3 CCSM MM5 X X1 RegCM X1** X CRCM X1** X HADRM X X1 RSM X1 X WRF X X1 Red = run completed Drawbacks of dynamical downscaling • Requires postprocessing for bias /media/ces/Lettenmaier_Dennis_CES_2010pdf.pdf
  • 32. RaisanenJouni_CES_2010

    – observed and simulated changes in global mean temperature • Pattern scaling approach – changes in mean climate and variability assumed to be proportional to the change in global mean temperature Regression coefficients of winter mean temperature: how much is climate on the average simulated to change per 1°C of global warming? X X Helsinki (60ºN, 25ºE): On average, the mean winter temperature /media/ces/RaisanenJouni_CES_2010.pdf
  • 33. TietavainenHanna_CES_2010

    and objective CES Conference, Oslo 31.5.-2.6.2010 Study area • Two study areas sized 100 x 100 km located in north-eastern (NE) and south-western (SW) part of Finland • Climatologically different zones: • NE: • between middle- and north-boreal zones • continental climate • SW: • between hemi- and south-boreal zones • maritime influence • Past and future monthly precipitation sums in May-September /media/ces/TietavainenHanna_CES_2010.pdf
  • 34. Ash measurements

    in estimating the height of the plume. At this time, the plume reached heights of 8 - 12 km. During the 2010 Eyjafjallajökull eruption, the weather radar proved to be a very useful tool, but the great distance to the eruption site (160 km) reduced the quality of the data. Therefore, a mobile X-band weather radar was purchased, but while this custom made radar was being assembled and tested, another /about-imo/news/nr/2183
  • 35. D2.3_CES_Prob_fcsts_GCMs_and_RCMs

    climate changes between the CMIP3 and ENSEMBLES simulations 15 4. Impact of RCM data on forecasts of climate change 18 5. Probabilistic projections of temperature and precipitation change 24 5.1 Best estimates and uncertainty ranges of temperature and precipitation change 24 5.2 How probably will temperature increase (precipitation change) by at least X°C (Y%)? 28 6. Conclusions 34 References /media/ces/D2.3_CES_Prob_fcsts_GCMs_and_RCMs.pdf
  • 36. Vertical displacement in the Bárðarbunga caldera

    September 2014. The gray line represents relative displacement and the blue line the median value for 180 minutes. Earthquakes in the area are shown separately below (same x-axis, same timing). Enlarge. The first two weeks as an example Total subsidence from 12 Sept 2014 until 1 March 2015 The total subsidence of the glacier surface above the Bárðarbunga caldera since the equipment /earthquakes-and-volcanism/gps-measurements/bardarbunga/caldera/
  • 37. Vertical displacement in the Bárðarbunga caldera

    September 2014. The gray line represents relative displacement and the blue line the median value for 180 minutes. Earthquakes in the area are shown separately below (same x-axis, same timing). Enlarge. The first two weeks as an example Total subsidence from 12 Sept 2014 until 1 March 2015 The total subsidence of the glacier surface above the Bárðarbunga caldera since the equipment /earthquakes-and-volcanism/gps-measurements/bardarbunga/caldera
  • 38. Ash measurements

    the quality of the data. Therefore, a mobile X-band weather radar was purchased, but while this custom made radar was being assembled and tested, another was obtained on loan from the Italian Civil Protection Agency. The mobile radar is now situated near the town of Kirkjubæjarklaustur, 80 km from the eruption site in Grímsvötn. IMO staff members monitor the progress of the eruption using /about-imo/news/nr/2183/
  • 39. Eyjaf_status_2010-05-04_IES_IMO

    of the lava stream. Radar images from ICG-flight today show tunnels in Gígjökull increasing in size and continuing the build up of the cone at the crater. The size of the eruptive crater is 280 x 190 m. Lava splashes are thrown at least a few hundred meters into the air. Seismic tremor: Tremor levels decreased last night (3 May) and have decreased even further this morning at around 11:00 GMT /media/jar/Eyjaf_status_2010-05-04_IES_IMO.pdf
  • 40. Gode_Jenny_CES_2010

    Projects involving sh Concise info Executive summaries Downloadable "Stakeholder friendly" info Stakeholder Relevance of the CES Project Jenny Gode, 31 May 2010 Research programme "Translators" F act sheets W eb page Stee ring co m m ittee Visits W o rkshops R efe re nce g ro up s E x . su m m a rie s M eetings Stakeholders Energy companies Energy authorities Decision makers Other stakeholders /media/ces/Gode_Jenny_CES_2010.pdf

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