Scales as mentioned in Cash et al. (2006)
space time juris. inst. man. netw. know. other
Van Apeldoorn et al. 2011 XXX
Mandemaker et al. 2011 XXXX
Van der Veen and Tagel 2011 XXX
De Blaeij et al. 2011 XXXX (spatial) beneficiaries,
ecosystem services
Turnhout and Boonman-Berson 2011 XX
Van Lieshout et al. 2011 XX agricultural
juris. = jurisdictional
inst. = institutional
man
/media/loftslag/Kok_and_Veldkamp_editorial_ES-2011-4160.pdf
of the analogue method is introduced. In Section 3 hydrological and me-
teorological data used in the analysis are presented. Section 4 describes the different strategies
considered for implementing the method and Section 5 presents some results. Some concluding
remarks are made in Section 6.
2 The analogue method
Let X(t) be a state of a dynamical system at time t, known through the observation of k variables
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2013/VI_2013_008.pdf
was deployed and together with the permanent NNSN stations in that area it contained 33+
stations within span 350 x 200 km. About 1250 earthquakes of M>0.0 was recorded during the project
period and new map of seismicity of that area was retrieved.
The main aim of the project is to reveal the stress field in that particular region and therefore
determination of stable
/media/norsem/norsem_michalek.pdf
Access, can be monitored closely on the EUROVOLC website: https://EUROVOLC.eu. The EUROVOLC project can also be
followed on social media through the dedicated #eurovolc and @eurovolc usernames on Twitter and Instagram, and Facebook. Geographical distribution of European volcanoes (red circles): on the
European continents,
plus Canary islands (left) and in overseas countries (right
/about-imo/news/eurovolc
to be simple and therefore has important drawbacks.
Future improvements should be made in the light of applications within a larger toolbox of scenario
methods.
2008 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
* Tel.: +31 317 482422; fax: +31 317 419000.
E-mail address: kasper.kok@wur.nl.
Contents lists available at ScienceDirect
Global Environmental Change
journa l homepage: www.e lsev ier .com/ locate
/media/loftslag/Kok_JGEC658_2009.pdf
a probability of an
adverse event occurring and a measure of the
associated event. Larger consequence and larger
probability lead to a larger overall risk (e.g. Risk =
Probability x Damage)
Conclusions – Part 1
Terminology
• Be aware of ambiguities in terminology used by others –
and be specific defining the terminology you use
Concepts
• Uncertainty assessment should influence the entire
/media/loftslag/Refsgaard_2-uncertainty.pdf
-scale Category
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Permanent Homes
Casualties and Timing
Casualties and Time of Day
150
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Fatalities
0
50
100
Overnight Morning Early Afternoon Late Afternoon Late Evening
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Injuries
Nocturnal Tornadoes
7
8
9
10
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F0 F1 F2 F3 F4
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/media/loftslag/Tornado_Impacts_-_FMI_Presentation.pdf
model
regional projections.
• Development of multiple 50-km regional
climate scenarios for use in impacts
assessments.
• Evaluation of regional model performance
over North America.
www.narccap.ucar.edu
50-km Grid
GFDL CGCM3 HADCM3 CCSM
MM5 X X1
RegCM X1** X
CRCM X1** X
HADRM X X1
RSM X1 X
WRF X X1
Red = run completed
Drawbacks of dynamical downscaling
• Requires postprocessing for bias
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