a
l
y
(
°
C
)
1900 1920 1940 1960 1980
2000
-20
-10
0
1
0
2
0
R
u
n
o
f
f
a
n
o
m
a
l
y
(
%
)
1900 1920 1940 1960 1980
2000
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
1
0
2
0
3
0
E
v
a
p
o
r
a
t
i
o
n
a
n
o
m
a
l
y
(
%
)
Large-scale atmospheric patterns
and hydroclimatological variables
Large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns,
are more accurately assessed by Global
Climate Models than are local variations
/media/ces/ces_SA_group_flyer_new.pdf