of stationarity was
Climate change undermines a basic assumption
that historically has facilitated management of
water supplies, demands, and risks.
Stationarity Is Dead:
Whither Water Management?
P. C. D. Milly,1* Julio Betancourt,2 Malin Falkenmark,3 Robert M. Hirsch,4 Zbigniew W.
Kundzewicz,5 Dennis P. Lettenmaier,6 Ronald J. Stouffer7
CLIMATE CHANGE
1U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), c/o National Oceanic
/media/loftslag/Milly_etal-2008-Stationarity-dead-Science.pdf
regimes of
Number of flood and drought disasters in the past
decades per case study
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
1977-1986 1987-1996 1997-2006
Time period
Total number of flood and
drought disaster
s
Rivierenland
Alentejo
Upper Tisza - Hungary
Upper Tisza - Ukraine
Fig. 1 Number of reported flood and drought disasters in the past
decades in Rivierenland, Alentejo, Hungarian part of Upper Tisza,
and Ukrainian
/media/loftslag/Huntjens_etal-2010-Climate-change-adaptation-Reg_Env_Change.pdf